After a lengthy two week stretch of time consuming work and laziness combined I'm back to forecast week 10 in the NFL. We've been hit and miss all year but I mean, it's fun nevertheless. Thus, here are my week 10 Love-hate picks that will probably fall down the drain, but I still do my best.
The Love List:
QB- Cam Newton, CAR
Yes, it's San Francisco's Defense. Yes, San Fran is off a bye. Yes, Newton has struggled against them in the past. But with the emergence of a consistent ground game between DeAngelo Williams and The Vulture of the Century, Mike Tolbert keeping the 49ers D in check, Newton's Value will be there. Look for a good game outta Cam.
QB- Jay Cutler, CHI
Detroit's defense is just Turrible. If Cutler doesn't end up starting, McCown is a viable option as his backup. Play em!
QB- Philip Rivers, SD
Denver, do you even defend bro?
QB- EJ Manuel, BUF
This may or may not be total fandom bias 101 but the Bills offense looked pretty good with Thad Lewis under center, and even had bright moments last week with Jeff Tuel leading the way against a good Kansas City Defense. Pittsburgh isn't what they used to be. With Spiller looking 100% finally and Jackson being very good all year long Manuel will have the support he needs to have a solid game.
RB- CJ Spiller/ Fred Jackson, BUF
The Steelers D gives up the second most fantasy points to running backs. Start start start start
RB- Reggie Bush, DET
The last time Chicago and Detroit played Bush made that defense look foolish, gashing em for 139 yards on the ground and a touchdown, not to mention the 4 catches he added for 34 yards. He likes playing The bears, another team who's D just isn't what it used to be.
RB- Danny Woodhead, SD
Denver's Defense is so bad that anyone who catches passes consistently for San Diego should have a field day. Cue Woodhead.
RB- CJ2K, TEN
FINALLY. If you were patient with him until last week such as myself give yourself a pat on the back, as he went off for 150 yards and two TD's. It's been a long time coming and with Jacksonville being this week's opponent look for Johnson to run wild once again.
WR- Hakeem Nicks, NYG
He's boom or bust out in every definition of the phrase, but Oakland represents a very favorable matchup for the receiver this weekend.
WR- Victor Cruz, NYG
See Nicks, Hakeem
WR- Jordy Nelson, GB
Everyone makes a big deal out of Rodgers affecting Nelson's potential but I don't see it. He's a damn good receiver and with James jones not being 100%, Cobb being out, Finley being out, and Eddie Lacy being around to support Seneca Wallace with a reliable run game, I think Nelson serves as a crutch for Wallace this weekend against a 32nd ranked Philadelphia pass defense.
WR- Keenan Allen
Denvers D, the 104 YPG average since week 5, the obvious number 1 in San Diego, 8 red zone targets since week 5. Just a few reasons.
WR- Antonio Brown, PIT
Let's just say... the Bills have a thing for giving up some numbers to opposing wide receivers.
TE- Jimmy Graham, NO
DUH. But hold on, here's a couple interesting stats. He's got 10 TD's in 7 games played, which puts him on pace for 22. One off the NFL record, and 5 more than the record for Tight Ends. He also averages 22 points a game (PPR), which accounts for the 0 he got when he missed a game, and the best thing? He's projected for 30 this week.
A tight end, projected for 30. WUT. By the way, Dallas doesn't have a defense
TE- Antonio Gates, SD
Just add this guy to the list of Chargers I love this week. But really.
D/ST- Tennessee
They've got everything they could ask for in a Jags team that's missing Justin Blackmon. Look for a doozie out them this week.
The Hate List:
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
Hate to say it about one of my favorite players, But Carolina's D is mad good. Sorry Copernicus, but you're gonna have struggles this week.
QB- Matt Ryan, ATL
He continues to struggle with the absence of Julio Jones and Roddy White's Lack of production is really hindering Ryan. Benchin Ryan fo dayz.
QB- Ben Roethlisberger, PIT.
Two of the three times the Bills played AFC North opponents this year they've come up with 3 picks and 5 picks, respectively. The Steelers also have 5, count em, 5 linemen on the injury list this week. The Bills D will give up yards but sacks and turnovers are a very real danger for Roethlisberger this week.
RB- Giovani Bernard, CIN
He's hurt and still doesn't have the workload that you'd want. Against a good ravens run D he's not the best option.
RB- Mike Tolbert, CAR
He's scored in 4 straight but against the 49ers defense on Sunday I'm led to believe that will come to an end.
WR- Cecil Shorts III, JAC
My apologies to Anthone Willis, but I just can't see him having that good of a game in Tennessee this week. Blackmon is gone, leaving Shorts as Public enemy number one. McCourty and Vernen will have their sights on him all game long.
WR- Marques Colston, NO
The name means nothing any more. With the emergence of Kenny Stills and the return of Lance Moore, the only Saints receiver worth a start now is their tight end. The lack of production from this guy is killing me!
WR- Stevie Johnson, BUF
I think he'll have an average game don't get me wrong, but I see the Bills starting to drift towards Robert Woods as the favorite target. And with a healthy dose of Ike Taylor and Troy Polamalu this week, Johnson can't be considered a top 20 play
WR- Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
In real life you want him on your team. Your fantasy team? not so much. Against the top-ranked Houston pass defense?
Forget about it.
TE- Greg Olsen, CAR
That 49ers D. So stingy against tight ends doe.
D/ST- SD
They Play Denver, Simple.
D/ST- GB
The Packers D has the fewest interceptions all year. And the Philly offense has look efficient behind Foles, yielding an average of -3 points to opposing defenses this year since he took over under center.
That's all for this week's list, best of luck and happy footballing! (it's a verb, trust me.)
Saturday, November 9, 2013
Friday, October 18, 2013
Love/Hate Week 7
Yes I’m late again. It’s been a busy week at RIT so we’ll
get this going.
Quarterback who will perform exceptionally this weekend:
QB: Cam Newton will be forced to throw the ball against the Rams because they have allowed 7.2 yards per pass attempt, the 26th in the NFL. This could shape up to be a monstrous day for Newton and the Panthers passing game.
QB: Is putting Tony Romo in here cheating? I’m not sure, but he’s going to have a huge day against the Eagles. Last time they met? Romo had 512 yards and 5 touchdowns.
QB: Andrew Luck is going to have to throw, throw, throw, throw, and then throw a little more against the Broncos. The Colts are going to be down all game, well because it’s the Broncos, so the Colts will rely on Luck to keep them in the game. On top of that, the Broncos are ranked 31st against the pass this season.
QB: Geno Smith is playing a depleted Patriots defense and we all know that Bill Belichick will figure out how to squeak out a win, but I can see Geno finding a way to have a good day too.
Running backs I don’t hate this week:
RB: Bilal Powel. I know Curtis hates him this week, but I can see a lot of upside. He’s going up against an injured Patriots defense that is missing its three best players in Wilfork, Talib, and Mayo. I think this game is going to be a lot closer than people think because of that. Powel will have a solid game.
RB: Gio Bernard receives the easiest matchup this week against the Lions who are allowing 5.4 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Bernard is looking to absolutely hammer the Lions this week.
RB: I’ll go with a bold prediction with Stevan Ridley against the Jets. He finally played up to his potential last week fantasy-wise, and I can see him doing the same this week.
Wide receivers that are just awesome:
WR: Justin Blackmon seems to be playing up to his potential when he drew comparisons to Calvin Johnson. He’ll do it again against the Chargers who allow the 7th most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers.
WR: Victor Cruz may not have anyone to get him the ball, but he can match up well with the Vikings defense that allows 219 yards per game to opposing wide receivers. Also, possibly not a relevant fact, but he’s had a big game every third week so far, and guess what, it’s that week for him.
WR: Keenan Allen is playing very well of late, and is only owned in 11.2% of leagues, so pick him up and start him. He’s the top producing wide receiver on a team that gets to play the Jaguars this week.
WR: Antonio Brown is on a hot streak and is playing a defense in the Ravens that allows the 7th most points to opposing wide receivers. He’ll continue on his hot streak.
TE: ROB GRONKOWSKI IS ACTIVE. I can see a couple #GRONKSPIKE’s this week.
TE: Charles Clay is playing the Bills who always seem to have problems with good tight ends. Clay is also only owned in 41.9% of leagues. Pick him up people! He’s on a three week touchdown streak and don’t expect him to end it this week.
TE: Antonio Gates gets to play the Jaguars. Can’t my whole team play the Jaguars every week?
Defense:
D/ST: I know the Chiefs defense is the best defense in the league this season, but they are playing the Texans. The Texans are probably going to turn it over and over and over this week. The Chiefs could score 25 points this week for you.
There are a couple players I don’t like at all this week so here they are:
QB: Aaron Rodgers. Yeah he’s on my team, and everyone’s going to start him anyway, but he won’t play that well. They have two starting receivers left in Jordy Nelson and Jermichael Finley on the Packers that aren’t hurt and Joe Haden is pretty good. I can see Haden covering Nelson with a safety stuck over the top to help him out leaving Rodgers virtually no more options left.
QB: Texans QB. I don’t know his name but he’s going to suck this week. Why? Because all Texans QB’s do.
RB: Doug Martin is actually going to have a solid day, but I can’t see him getting in the end zone. Once again. He’s having a solid season in reality, but in fantasy he’s awful. Against a Falcons defense that has only allowed two touchdowns to opposing running backs this season I don’t see Martin getting in either.
RB: Ben Tate isn’t only not going to play much because of Arian Foster and the fact that he lost a fumble last week, but he’s also playing the Chiefs so he won’t get a lot of touches and he won’t do much with the ones that he does get.
RB: Demarco Murray is going to be part of a shootout against the Eagles. Romo’s going to have to throw the ball a lot which means Murray isn’t running it.
TE: Jermichael Finley is probably going to get shut down by the Browns because the Browns really don’t have to shut down much against the Packers. With just one other starting receiver on the Packers that isn’t injured, the Browns will slow down an already slow-producing Finley.
D/ST: The Colts are playing Peyton Manning and the Broncos.
Until next week, adieu
my friends.
Wednesday, October 16, 2013
Week 7- Love/Hate
6 weeks down, 11 to go. We're right in full swing in the NFL season and I couldn't be more enthralled. Week 6 was host to a lot of surprises and disappointments fantasy wise, and Week 7 should be no different. Let the Week 7 love-hate list commence!
Players I love in week 7:
QB- Eli Manning, NYG
He's awful. He's on pace for 38 Interceptions and hasn't shown any signs of being a competent quarterback this year. Yet he's playing the Vikings, who have the 3rd worst defense in the league, and with the Giants a dismal and desperate 0-6, Eli HAS to do something this week, right? Not to mention the weapons he still has available at wide receiver. It may be a bit of a gamble but against such a bad defense you can give Eli the green light this week
QB- Nick Foles/ Mike Vick, PHI
A huge divisional matchup with Cowboys awaits this week as the Eagles look to gain sole possession of the top spot in the NFC East. Against the last ranked Cowboys pass defense I see either QB having a hay day. Whoever plays, scores. Start the starter.
QB- Jay Cutler, CHI
He's actually a competent fantasy quarterback this season! Against an absolutely dismal Redskins D this week you should be playing any Chicago Bear that you have available on your roster. Look for Cutler to have a huge week
RB- Adrian Peterson, MIN
This is completely hypocritical of me but I feel the need to stress just how good this man can be this week. Look at the factors here, you have one of the best to ever play the game, add a horrible defense facing him, a terrible quarterback situation that is in question, a bad week prior to this, and a man on a mission after having his son pass away less than ten days ago. It's the perfect storm and this is somewhat bold, but I believe he posts 35 this week against the Giants.
RB- Giovani Bernard, CIN
After proving me wrong last week for having him on my hate list he deserves the recognition. Facing a soft Detroit defense and having been consistent the past few weeks, the odds are in his favor this week. Thus far he has 2 touchdowns on the ground and 2 receiving, look for him to add to those totals this weekend.
RB- Fred Jackson, BUF
He's been rather consistent through six games, he's the steady hand that Buffalo can always fall back on. He's consistently been involved with the pass game, catching at least 4 passes in 5 of 6 games. And when you factor in a Miami Defense giving up the 5th most fantasy points to running backs this season, the fact that Spiller still isn't 100%, and that the starting Bills QB this week is still fresh off the practice squad, you can expect Jackson to put up some good numbers.
RB- Ray Rice, BAL
He's been amongst the kings of underproduction this season, but remember that he's still Ray Rice. I look for him to play well against the division rival Steelers this week in what you could say is a gut call.
RB- Frank Gore, SF
He's ran for 81+ yards in each of his last 4 games and has 2 TDs over that span, and I see that trend continuing against a sub-par Tennessee rush defense this week. San Francisco has established its running game and Gore as always is a huge part of it.
WR- Keenan Allen, SD
Philip Rivers guaranteed a Chargers' victory in Jacksonville this week after a huge win Monday night against the Colts. Allen has quickly become one of Rivers' two favorite targets as over the last three weeks he's amassed 20 catches for 302 yards and a pair of scores. The real catch? He's still available in 80% of ESPN leagues. Grab this guy and you'll have a solid WR2 or Flex play this week and for weeks to come, count on it.
WR- Justin Blackmon, JAX
Since I can't love Cecil Shorts this week due to injury, I have to give the nod to the man filling his number 1 WR spot on the depth chart. Since returning to action in week 5 Blackmon has been a monster, posting a whopping 19 catches for 326 yards and a score. There's not much to like in Jacksonville right now, but against a wretched San Diego Pass Defense you can like the only reliable target in the Jags receiving core. He's still available in a third of leagues so snatch him if you can.
WR- Steve Smith, CAR
This man defies logic. He's undersized, He's 34 years old, his QB is inconsistent. Yet he still produces. Look for the Mighty Mouse to hoist some solid numbers this week against St. Louis as the Panthers look for a way to keep winning.
WR- Kenbrell Thompkins, NE
BOLD PREDICTION.
I once again rave about Gronkowski's return to New England and how it effects Thompkins' fantasy value, then Gronk decides to pull a Derrick Rose and sit out another week for unknown reasons and Thompkins has another solid fantasy week against the Jets.
WR- Brandon Marshall, CHI
Another perhaps hypocritical choice but at this point I just don't care. It's scary to think how well this man could perform this week, a top tier receiver up against Washington's sad excuse for a defense. Start him, Cutler, and any other Bear on your roster.
WR- T.Y. Hilton, IND
This is one of two games on the schedule I could see the Broncos losing. If so, The Indianapolis receiving core will have to help Andrew Luck keep pace with his predecessor, Peyton Manning. The Broncos Defense has given up some heinous stats to opposing wide receivers so far in 2013 and I look for that trend to continue Monday in Indy.
WR- Reggie Wayne, IND
See Hilton, T.Y.
TE- Jordan Cameron, CLE
After a couple mediocre weeks it's easy to sell Cameron's stock. However with an ideal matchup this weekend against a Packers defense that has allowed the 4th most points to opposing tight ends, Cameron is poised to get back on track with a good week this week.
TE- Tony Gonzalez, ATL
The Falcons sit at 1-4 and desperately need a victory this Sunday. With Julio Jones on IR and Roddy White being a HUGE question mark this season, someone will have to step up in Atlanta's passing game. Cue Mr. Gonzalez.
TE- Charles Clay, MIA
He's quietly having a very good season for Miami, as he has the 9th most points scored by a tight end. He's still available in 65% of leagues and he'll look to extend his touchdown streak to three games as the Dolphins welcome the Bills to town.
D/ST- KC
THEY'RE THE BEST YOU COULD HAVE AND THEY STILL AREN'T OWNED IN ALL LEAGUES. SGNKUSHFGLKAFHGKJSNHGLRGHDUSVYSUHG
D/ST- NE
Look for the Pats D to pick apart Geno Smith just as they did earlier in the year, Bellichick is a genius I swear.
The week 7 hate list:
QB- Andy Dalton, CIN
He shined last week at Buffalo, but he's still just too inconsistent for my liking. Detroit's defense isn't anything special but eh.. its a gut call.
QB- Texans QB, HOU
I didn't even care to remember his name. Whether it's Schaub or his backup I don't care, the Chiefs defense is good and the Texans QBs have thrown a pick 6 in five, count em, FIVE STRAIGHT GAMES.
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
There will be a time and a place to love Kaep again, unfortunately that's not this week against Tennessee. The Niners are so run oriented right now that unless they fall behind early, Kaep will be limited yet again come Sunday.
RB- Patriots Running Backs, NE
Ya see, Ridley went HAM last week but they still are a congregation that splits the workload. Against the Jets Defense you shouldn't be starting any of them.
RB- Bilal Powell, NYJ
I see the Jets playing from behind in this one which will greatly reduce Powell's workload. Look for the Pats to shut him down this week.
RB- Chris Johnson, TEN
His grace period is over, I can't make excuses for his lack of production any longer. Until he's finding the endzone consistently again don't play him, and I can't see this weekend in San Fran being the week he starts that trend again.
WR- Andre Johnson, HOU
With the QB situation such a mess and all-pro corner Brandon Flowers covering him this weekend, Johnson's value is greatly reduced. Look for the Chiefs Defense to get into the end zone a couple of times before Johnson even gets a catch.
WR- Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
Palmer has been a mess this season and corners Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner will have their attention fully on Fitzy throughout the game Thursday night, greatly reducing his upside this week.
WR- Stevie Johnson, BUF
Just a lack of production this season has been his storyline. With him not being 100% and Thad Lewis running the offense I see him being held to very little production yet again this week.
TE- Rob Gronkowski, NE
Reverse Psychology in full effect here. I've been so high on him recently and he hasn't touched the field, maybe if I predict him to not play, he plays and has 3 scores. Hmmmmm.....
D/ST- IND
They're Playing Denver LOL
D/ST- DEN
Denver doesn't believe in defense anymore.
D/ST- CLE
I just have too much faith in Green Bay's Offense... even without Cobb and Jones.
And that concludes the week 7 love-hate list. Happy Footballing!
Players I love in week 7:
QB- Eli Manning, NYG
He's awful. He's on pace for 38 Interceptions and hasn't shown any signs of being a competent quarterback this year. Yet he's playing the Vikings, who have the 3rd worst defense in the league, and with the Giants a dismal and desperate 0-6, Eli HAS to do something this week, right? Not to mention the weapons he still has available at wide receiver. It may be a bit of a gamble but against such a bad defense you can give Eli the green light this week
QB- Nick Foles/ Mike Vick, PHI
A huge divisional matchup with Cowboys awaits this week as the Eagles look to gain sole possession of the top spot in the NFC East. Against the last ranked Cowboys pass defense I see either QB having a hay day. Whoever plays, scores. Start the starter.
QB- Jay Cutler, CHI
He's actually a competent fantasy quarterback this season! Against an absolutely dismal Redskins D this week you should be playing any Chicago Bear that you have available on your roster. Look for Cutler to have a huge week
RB- Adrian Peterson, MIN
This is completely hypocritical of me but I feel the need to stress just how good this man can be this week. Look at the factors here, you have one of the best to ever play the game, add a horrible defense facing him, a terrible quarterback situation that is in question, a bad week prior to this, and a man on a mission after having his son pass away less than ten days ago. It's the perfect storm and this is somewhat bold, but I believe he posts 35 this week against the Giants.
RB- Giovani Bernard, CIN
After proving me wrong last week for having him on my hate list he deserves the recognition. Facing a soft Detroit defense and having been consistent the past few weeks, the odds are in his favor this week. Thus far he has 2 touchdowns on the ground and 2 receiving, look for him to add to those totals this weekend.
RB- Fred Jackson, BUF
He's been rather consistent through six games, he's the steady hand that Buffalo can always fall back on. He's consistently been involved with the pass game, catching at least 4 passes in 5 of 6 games. And when you factor in a Miami Defense giving up the 5th most fantasy points to running backs this season, the fact that Spiller still isn't 100%, and that the starting Bills QB this week is still fresh off the practice squad, you can expect Jackson to put up some good numbers.
RB- Ray Rice, BAL
He's been amongst the kings of underproduction this season, but remember that he's still Ray Rice. I look for him to play well against the division rival Steelers this week in what you could say is a gut call.
RB- Frank Gore, SF
He's ran for 81+ yards in each of his last 4 games and has 2 TDs over that span, and I see that trend continuing against a sub-par Tennessee rush defense this week. San Francisco has established its running game and Gore as always is a huge part of it.
WR- Keenan Allen, SD
Philip Rivers guaranteed a Chargers' victory in Jacksonville this week after a huge win Monday night against the Colts. Allen has quickly become one of Rivers' two favorite targets as over the last three weeks he's amassed 20 catches for 302 yards and a pair of scores. The real catch? He's still available in 80% of ESPN leagues. Grab this guy and you'll have a solid WR2 or Flex play this week and for weeks to come, count on it.
WR- Justin Blackmon, JAX
Since I can't love Cecil Shorts this week due to injury, I have to give the nod to the man filling his number 1 WR spot on the depth chart. Since returning to action in week 5 Blackmon has been a monster, posting a whopping 19 catches for 326 yards and a score. There's not much to like in Jacksonville right now, but against a wretched San Diego Pass Defense you can like the only reliable target in the Jags receiving core. He's still available in a third of leagues so snatch him if you can.
WR- Steve Smith, CAR
This man defies logic. He's undersized, He's 34 years old, his QB is inconsistent. Yet he still produces. Look for the Mighty Mouse to hoist some solid numbers this week against St. Louis as the Panthers look for a way to keep winning.
WR- Kenbrell Thompkins, NE
BOLD PREDICTION.
I once again rave about Gronkowski's return to New England and how it effects Thompkins' fantasy value, then Gronk decides to pull a Derrick Rose and sit out another week for unknown reasons and Thompkins has another solid fantasy week against the Jets.
WR- Brandon Marshall, CHI
Another perhaps hypocritical choice but at this point I just don't care. It's scary to think how well this man could perform this week, a top tier receiver up against Washington's sad excuse for a defense. Start him, Cutler, and any other Bear on your roster.
WR- T.Y. Hilton, IND
This is one of two games on the schedule I could see the Broncos losing. If so, The Indianapolis receiving core will have to help Andrew Luck keep pace with his predecessor, Peyton Manning. The Broncos Defense has given up some heinous stats to opposing wide receivers so far in 2013 and I look for that trend to continue Monday in Indy.
WR- Reggie Wayne, IND
See Hilton, T.Y.
TE- Jordan Cameron, CLE
After a couple mediocre weeks it's easy to sell Cameron's stock. However with an ideal matchup this weekend against a Packers defense that has allowed the 4th most points to opposing tight ends, Cameron is poised to get back on track with a good week this week.
TE- Tony Gonzalez, ATL
The Falcons sit at 1-4 and desperately need a victory this Sunday. With Julio Jones on IR and Roddy White being a HUGE question mark this season, someone will have to step up in Atlanta's passing game. Cue Mr. Gonzalez.
TE- Charles Clay, MIA
He's quietly having a very good season for Miami, as he has the 9th most points scored by a tight end. He's still available in 65% of leagues and he'll look to extend his touchdown streak to three games as the Dolphins welcome the Bills to town.
D/ST- KC
THEY'RE THE BEST YOU COULD HAVE AND THEY STILL AREN'T OWNED IN ALL LEAGUES. SGNKUSHFGLKAFHGKJSNHGLRGHDUSVYSUHG
D/ST- NE
Look for the Pats D to pick apart Geno Smith just as they did earlier in the year, Bellichick is a genius I swear.
The week 7 hate list:
QB- Andy Dalton, CIN
He shined last week at Buffalo, but he's still just too inconsistent for my liking. Detroit's defense isn't anything special but eh.. its a gut call.
QB- Texans QB, HOU
I didn't even care to remember his name. Whether it's Schaub or his backup I don't care, the Chiefs defense is good and the Texans QBs have thrown a pick 6 in five, count em, FIVE STRAIGHT GAMES.
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
There will be a time and a place to love Kaep again, unfortunately that's not this week against Tennessee. The Niners are so run oriented right now that unless they fall behind early, Kaep will be limited yet again come Sunday.
RB- Patriots Running Backs, NE
Ya see, Ridley went HAM last week but they still are a congregation that splits the workload. Against the Jets Defense you shouldn't be starting any of them.
RB- Bilal Powell, NYJ
I see the Jets playing from behind in this one which will greatly reduce Powell's workload. Look for the Pats to shut him down this week.
RB- Chris Johnson, TEN
His grace period is over, I can't make excuses for his lack of production any longer. Until he's finding the endzone consistently again don't play him, and I can't see this weekend in San Fran being the week he starts that trend again.
WR- Andre Johnson, HOU
With the QB situation such a mess and all-pro corner Brandon Flowers covering him this weekend, Johnson's value is greatly reduced. Look for the Chiefs Defense to get into the end zone a couple of times before Johnson even gets a catch.
WR- Larry Fitzgerald, ARI
Palmer has been a mess this season and corners Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner will have their attention fully on Fitzy throughout the game Thursday night, greatly reducing his upside this week.
WR- Stevie Johnson, BUF
Just a lack of production this season has been his storyline. With him not being 100% and Thad Lewis running the offense I see him being held to very little production yet again this week.
TE- Rob Gronkowski, NE
Reverse Psychology in full effect here. I've been so high on him recently and he hasn't touched the field, maybe if I predict him to not play, he plays and has 3 scores. Hmmmmm.....
D/ST- IND
They're Playing Denver LOL
D/ST- DEN
Denver doesn't believe in defense anymore.
D/ST- CLE
I just have too much faith in Green Bay's Offense... even without Cobb and Jones.
And that concludes the week 7 love-hate list. Happy Footballing!
Saturday, October 12, 2013
Love/Hate Week 6
I know this is really late but I was
super busy this week and I’m just going to bang this out real quick with just a
few guys. So here we go:
Quarterbacks I Love:
QB: Ben
Rothlisberger is going to have to show up this week to get his first win
against the Jets. The lowly Steelers are going to win sometime this season and I
think against the Jets is their best chance. Rothlisberger is going to have to
do something right to force his team into the win column this week.
QB: Tom
Brady will have to throw the ball a lot against the Saints and I like his
chances with finally having figured out his receivers. He’ll look like his old
self by tearing the Saints defense apart this week.
QB: Sam
Bradford will play well against a tough Texans defense because his O-line is
heating up and finally giving him some protection. In this Rams win, Bradford’s
going to find the end zone multiple times.
Running Backs I Love:
RB: Pierre Thomas is going to give
the Patriots some serious trouble this week without Wilfork there to clog up
the middle. Thomas isn’t even the Saints first running back but he is their
runner and I can see him playing a lot if the Pats can find a way to slow down
the pass offense somehow.
RB:
Darren Sproles is also a running back I love because of the attention the
linebackers are going to have to give to Jimmy Graham. I think the Patriots
goal against the Saints is going to be to shut down Jimmy Graham and if that
happens, with some extra attention going his way, it will leave the flats and
other short-running back-routes wide open to Sproles.
RB: I’m
going to stray away from the Saints v. Pats game and go with Knowshon Moreno
because he’s so consistent and he is playing the Jaguars. The Jaguars. Enough
said.
RB:
Chris Johnson is going to have a good week. He’s matched up against an
intimidating Seahawks defense. A Seahawks defense that is actually somewhat
deceiving. They are only the 19th best rush defense in the NFL this
season, allowing 109 yards per game on the ground. We’ll see how CJ2K can stack
up against a shaky run defense.
Wide Receivers I Love:
WR:
Torrey Smith is looking good every week but I think he’ll go off against a weak
Packers D.
WR:
Jordy Nelson will rack up some good points for you because he’s playing a
Ravens defense that allows the 13th most points to opposing wide
receivers. Also, another stat to prove Nelson is at least going to be put in
the position to score a lot; he’s always on the field. He was on the field for
64 of 67 of last week’s snaps for the Packers.
WR: ANY
BRONCOS RECEIVER
WR:
Pierre Garcon is playing a terrible secondary in the Dallas Cowboys that have
allowed 30 receptions and 356 yards in the last two weeks to opposing wide
receivers. Garcon is licking his lips at this matchup.
Tight Ends I Love:
TE:
Julius Thomas is a Broncos receiver. And yeah I put in the top fantasy tight
end this week but how can I not love Thomas this week with what is predicted to
be one of the biggest blowouts in NFL history.
TE:
Jason Witten seems to be a big part of every close game for the Cowboys. With this
Cowboys v. Redskins game looking like it could be a great one, I like Witten
this week.
TE: Yes
I know, 3 tight ends! This is a bit of a bold prediction though. Scott Chandler
is going to be Chad Lewis’ security blanket this week because Lewis is a
practice squad QB, not an NFL one.
Defenses I love this week:
D/ST:
Go pick up the Titans defense because they’re only owned in a quarter of
leagues right now and they’re the third highest scoring defense this season
with 11 turnovers thus far.
D/ST:
Cardinals defense will fare well against a struggling Kaepernick and I can see
Patrick Peterson going crazy this week.
On to people I hate this week.
Quarterbacks I really, strongly, dislike this week:
QB: Eli
Manning. I know he already played this week but who knows, he may still have an
interception in him before next week.
QB:
Collin Kaepernick will look awful this week against a pretty good Cardinals
defense that has Patrick Peterson.
QB:
Matt Shaub is on the same level as Eli Manning. Almost. I mean how someone can
be that bad is beyond me.
Running Backs that are going to have bad games:
RB: If
you haven’t figured out to bench Trent Richardson, yes, even if you wasted your
first round pick on him, then you really should take my advice and do so. Maybe
even drop him. He’s worthless in fantasy.
RB:
Doug Martin’s getting too many touches and against the Eagles who will be
having a rough game without Vick, he’ll be exhausted. Somewhat of a bold prediction.
I don’t really hate any other
running backs, but what baffles me is that Maurice Jones-Drew is owned in 100%
of leagues, but Pierre Thomas is only owned in 32.2% even though Thomas has
scored 29 more points than MJD.
Wide Receivers that won’t see enough action this week:
WR:
Anquan “So Strong” Boldin won’t play well because his quarterback can’t really
get him the ball effectively.
WR:
Nate Washington is matched up against the third best pass defense in the NFL.
More specifically, he’s matched up against Richard Sherman who is a beast.
WR:
Denarious Moore is matched up with Brandon Flowers and is really the Raiders
only weapon on offense. The Chiefs shut down Moore with Flowers and probably a
safety over the top and Moore won’t even see a target.
Tight Ends I’m not in favor of in Week 6:
TE: I’m
very tempted to go with Jimmy Graham because of Bill Belichick, but I have a
feeling the Saints will find a way to get him the ball anyway. So, I’m going
with Brent Celek because why not.
Defenses I really, really, really hate this week:
D/ST: The
Jaguars are awful. LOL
Wednesday, October 9, 2013
What is Love? Baby don't hurt me, don't hurt me, no more. Week 6 Love/ Hate
I'll be honest, week 5 made me feel like a genius and an idiot at the same time. Why does the NFL love to surprise us? Oh yeah, I forgot it's the best source of entertainment in the United States. Who in the world predicted that in the Broncos-Cowboys game there would be almost 100 points scored? That Peyton would put up 30 fantasy points and Tony Romo would outscore him by double digits? That's ludicrous, but it's why I'm in love with football and fantasy football. There's nothing, and I do mean absolutely nothing, that you can accurately predict from week to week. But I'm still going to try, no matter how foolish I appear at times.
Speaking of the unpredictable, there's one particular guy in our league that has outshown everyone. And although he is the defending league champion, it's still surprising. This league is so competitive that 8 of the 12 teams rest at either 3-2 or 2-3 after 5 weeks, myself included who currently sits in 6th place in possession of the final playoff spot. This guy, named David, has completely obliterated everybody and nobody really understands how. He's 5-0 and facing my co-writer, Alex this week (who I lost to last week, however Alex is still a measly 1-4 and is currently 11th in the league) who is a much lesser opponent by David's standards. Looking at 6-0 we're left to ponder, how is David so much better? The answer: overproduction and unpredictability.
Looking at David's team, appropriately named "The Abusement Park" you really have to appreciate just how good it is. His typical starting lineup is as follows:
QB- RGIII
RB1- Reggie Bush
RB2- Fred Jackson
WR1- Calvin Johnson Jr.
WR2- Pierre Garcon
TE- Jimmy Graham
Flex- Le'veon Bell/ James Jones
His defense and kicker usually vary week to week on who's matchup looks good.
This is the team that has destroyed everything in its path. He's the proud owner of 2 of my 3 losses this year and has left me scratching my head multiple times. But when you look into it, he's had some ridiculous production from his lineup all year long. Reggie Bush has hoisted 25 points (it's PPR format) in 2 of the 3 games he's played in full, Fred Jackson has been in double-digit point territory week in and week out. Before missing last week due to injury Megatron was the 7th best receiver points-wise in the league. Jimmy Graham has had one of the best fantasy seasons for a tight end of all time, his point totals through 5 weeks are 14, 34, 34, 27 and 23. What? Are you kidding me? What's even better is last week David had the absences of RGIII, Megatron and Pierre Garcon, leading everyone to believe he was susceptible to defeat for the first time on the season. In their places he started Terrelle Pryor, James Jones, and Alshon Jeffery. He still scored 164 points as the three posted 21, 23 and 39 points, respectively. How? How is it possible for every freaking guy this guy plays to perform like he's top 5 at his position? Unpredictability. That's the only solution and he's loved the unpredictability of the NFL so far. I don't know how he does it but it goes to show that no one in the world can accurately predict this stuff all the time. That being said, here's my best attempt at a week 6 Love-Hate List.
Love:
QB- Jay Cutler, CHI
Taking on a pitiful 29th ranked Giants pass defense Thursday night the Bears quarterback will look to light it up. With emerging receiver Alshon Jeffery who's combined for a whopping 15 catches, 325 yards and 3 touchdowns over the past two weeks and seasoned veterans Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte, and Martellus Bennett, the Chicago offense is littered with a plethora of weapons for Mr. Cutler.
QB- Alex Smith, KC
Alex Smith a fantasy stud? Far from it, right? Wrong. Over the first 5 games Smith has put up the 11th most QB points, with his first two home matchups producing 511 yards through the air, 84 yards on the ground and 5 touchdowns. With a matchup at home against a 24th ranked Oakland defense that has given up over 1,000 passing yards and 6 passing TDs in the last 3 weeks I could see him putting up huge numbers.
QB- Tom Brady, NE.
He's had a disappointing start but with it being fair to assume Gronkowski finally makes his season debut this week against the Saints Brady could be right back on track to having another big fantasy season. Gronkowski has 38 touchdowns through 43 career games and I could see him finding his way to the end zone multiple times his against a Saints defense that has given up points to opposing tight ends.
RB- Danny Woodhead, SD
Don't let the mediocre rushing stats fool you into thinking he has no value. Especially in PPR leagues this guy can come up big time as he does his best Darren Sproles impression, and with Ryan Mathews out Monday against Indianapolis Woodhead will see the majority of the workload.
RB- Knowshon Moreno, DEN
While Manning has put up absolutely gaudy numbers Moreno himself has quietly had a good fantasy season. With the Broncos hosting the dismal Jags and being 28 point favorites, Moreno will see a good amount of carries as the Broncos play from ahead. I mean, wayyyyyy ahead.
RB- Trent Richardson, IND
Now that he's had a couple weeks to become acclimated in Indy Richardson faces a San Diego defense that is giving up about 5 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Monday night could be a breakout game for Richardson to kick start his already hectic 2013 season.
RB- Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX
The Broncos-Jags game this week could be an epic display of grotesque hideousness. Yet the Broncos D has given up the 7th most points to opposing running backs this season, and with MJD coming off his most productive outing of the year I see him potentially breaking out this week.
WR- Cecil Shorts III, JAX
I had to include the third in his name because this is the 3rd time he's been in my love section this year. Shorts is leading the NFL in targets with 61 and his 31 catches are good for 10th best. The return of Justin Blackmon took coverage away from Shorts last week and allowed him to take advantage and get into the endzone for the 1st time this season, and this week against a defense that gave up 4 TDs to Cowboys wide receivers last week I see him going off. Unless you have wide receivers on top of wide receivers, Shorts is a no brainer this week.
WR- Danny Amendola, NE
The return of Gronkowski will help everyone in New England's passing game, especially Amendola. Look for him to get his fair share of looks against New Orleans this week in a game I believe could be a shootout.
WR- Reggie Wayne, IND
Facing a horrendous 30th ranked pass-defense in the Chargers on Monday night it's fair to assume that Andrew Luck's favorite target could hoist some pretty serious numbers. The ageless wonder has had at least 3 catches in an NFL record 69 consecutive games, meaning that he's among the most consistent receivers in NFL history. Give him the nod as he's a lock to extend that streak to 70 games this week.
WR- DeSean Jackson, PHI
He's incredibly hit and miss, but its just a gut call this week. 24 of his 28 catches have gone for first downs, and that 85% ratio is the best in the league. HE's also fifth amongst qualified receivers in yards per catch, averaging 18.8 yards every time he gets the ball. Averaging 105 yards a game I really don't think it matters who is under center in Philly, as Jackson's value will stand tall.
TE- Rob Gronkowski, NE
Assuming that the waiting game is finally over in New England, Gronkowski is the man. As I mentioned previously he's got 38 touchdowns in 43 career games, leaving it at an 86% chance he finds the endzone this week, or any week for that matter.
TE- Vernon Davis, SF
Reasons to like him this week: Arizona is giving up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this year. He's coming off a performance of 88 yards and a touchdown. His Quarterback goes by the name of Copernicus.
Start him.
D/ST- KC
How is this not obvious yet? Hello? *Herm Edwards Voice* YOU PLAY. TO WIN. THE GAME. Simple as that. They still aren't owned in every league and they're the number one defense in the land. Start 'em start 'em start 'em.
D/ST- BUF
It's fair to say that the Bills Defense is enjoying a good year thus far. Forcing turnovers is of the essence in Buffalo, Ranked 1st in the league in interceptions and T-4th in the league in total turnovers forced. The Legend of Kiko Alonso and the Bills D will live on in week 6 at home against the Bengals.
The Week 6 Hate List:
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
San Francisco will still throw the ball but recent success on the ground will lead to consistently lower stats for the man known as Copernicus. Although I love his tight end this week I can't lead myself to invest in the QB himself against a Patrick Peterson led secondary.
QB- Eli Manning, NYG
I gotta face facts here. The man is a turnover machine in 2013 as the abysmal Giants are looking dead in the face of 0-6. It doesn't get any easier for them this week against Chicago. Being on pace for 38 INTs is an automatic spot on the bench or on waivers for Eli.
RB- Giovani Bernard, CIN
Buffalo's defense is good... And it's the first time anyone has honestly said that since the turn of the millennium. Facing the 2nd ranked run defense and splitting carries with The Law Firm are two factors that don't bode well for Bernard's value this week.
RB- Pierre Thomas, NO
Although a massive week 5 performance led to a rush on Thomas he isn't consistent enough for my taste, and against the Pats this week I see fellow running back Darren Sproles as a much better option for the Undefeated Saints.
WR- Antonio Brown, PIT
He's had a breakout season thus far and coming off the bye I could see him playing well this week, unfortunately the other Antonio that is covering him for the Jets this week will most likely shut him down all game.
WR- Julian Edelman, NE
He's the one man in the rotation that isn't benefited from the returns of Gronk and Amendola. His spot in the slot will be handed back over to Amendola and Gronk will see alot of looks this week, and with emerging WR Kenbrell Thompkins, Edelman seems to be the odd man out moving forward. His return duties could maintain his flex play value, however.
WR- Nate Washington, TEN
Against Seattle's D this week I can't see any Titans wide receiver really getting going behind Ryan Fitzpatrick. Until Locker returns almost all Tennessee Wide receivers will have depreciating value.
TE- Jared Cook, STL
Since a massive week 1 performance, he's been a fantasy no-show. After everyone jumped on his bandwagon I was among the last laughing, as I was wise to choose Jordan Cameron over repeat disappointment Mr. Cook.
TE- Scott Chandler, BUF
With a practice squad QB with just 1 NFL start under his belt Chandler's value is decreased significantly. The Cincinnati linebacking core will have their sights set on the 6'7" Chandler this week as Lewis makes his Bills debut in place of the injured Manuel.
D/ST- WAS
The Redskins Defense has been torched all year long and with a high octane Dallas offense being this week's
opponent I don't see that improving. Romo threw for 500 yards and 5 TDs last week, and although I won't say he's going to repeat that I will say that he could again hoist some good-looking numbers.
D/ST- JAX
Not like they're owned in any leagues anyway, I just thought I oughta point this out. They're projected for a staggering -10 this week against Denver. The amount of points that experts think Denver will put up? 58. That is the first time in my life I've ever seen such a projection. Just... wow.
And that wraps up this week's edition of the love-hate list. Until next time, my fellow fantasy footballers, i bid you farewell.
Speaking of the unpredictable, there's one particular guy in our league that has outshown everyone. And although he is the defending league champion, it's still surprising. This league is so competitive that 8 of the 12 teams rest at either 3-2 or 2-3 after 5 weeks, myself included who currently sits in 6th place in possession of the final playoff spot. This guy, named David, has completely obliterated everybody and nobody really understands how. He's 5-0 and facing my co-writer, Alex this week (who I lost to last week, however Alex is still a measly 1-4 and is currently 11th in the league) who is a much lesser opponent by David's standards. Looking at 6-0 we're left to ponder, how is David so much better? The answer: overproduction and unpredictability.
Looking at David's team, appropriately named "The Abusement Park" you really have to appreciate just how good it is. His typical starting lineup is as follows:
QB- RGIII
RB1- Reggie Bush
RB2- Fred Jackson
WR1- Calvin Johnson Jr.
WR2- Pierre Garcon
TE- Jimmy Graham
Flex- Le'veon Bell/ James Jones
His defense and kicker usually vary week to week on who's matchup looks good.
This is the team that has destroyed everything in its path. He's the proud owner of 2 of my 3 losses this year and has left me scratching my head multiple times. But when you look into it, he's had some ridiculous production from his lineup all year long. Reggie Bush has hoisted 25 points (it's PPR format) in 2 of the 3 games he's played in full, Fred Jackson has been in double-digit point territory week in and week out. Before missing last week due to injury Megatron was the 7th best receiver points-wise in the league. Jimmy Graham has had one of the best fantasy seasons for a tight end of all time, his point totals through 5 weeks are 14, 34, 34, 27 and 23. What? Are you kidding me? What's even better is last week David had the absences of RGIII, Megatron and Pierre Garcon, leading everyone to believe he was susceptible to defeat for the first time on the season. In their places he started Terrelle Pryor, James Jones, and Alshon Jeffery. He still scored 164 points as the three posted 21, 23 and 39 points, respectively. How? How is it possible for every freaking guy this guy plays to perform like he's top 5 at his position? Unpredictability. That's the only solution and he's loved the unpredictability of the NFL so far. I don't know how he does it but it goes to show that no one in the world can accurately predict this stuff all the time. That being said, here's my best attempt at a week 6 Love-Hate List.
Love:
QB- Jay Cutler, CHI
Taking on a pitiful 29th ranked Giants pass defense Thursday night the Bears quarterback will look to light it up. With emerging receiver Alshon Jeffery who's combined for a whopping 15 catches, 325 yards and 3 touchdowns over the past two weeks and seasoned veterans Brandon Marshall, Matt Forte, and Martellus Bennett, the Chicago offense is littered with a plethora of weapons for Mr. Cutler.
QB- Alex Smith, KC
Alex Smith a fantasy stud? Far from it, right? Wrong. Over the first 5 games Smith has put up the 11th most QB points, with his first two home matchups producing 511 yards through the air, 84 yards on the ground and 5 touchdowns. With a matchup at home against a 24th ranked Oakland defense that has given up over 1,000 passing yards and 6 passing TDs in the last 3 weeks I could see him putting up huge numbers.
QB- Tom Brady, NE.
He's had a disappointing start but with it being fair to assume Gronkowski finally makes his season debut this week against the Saints Brady could be right back on track to having another big fantasy season. Gronkowski has 38 touchdowns through 43 career games and I could see him finding his way to the end zone multiple times his against a Saints defense that has given up points to opposing tight ends.
RB- Danny Woodhead, SD
Don't let the mediocre rushing stats fool you into thinking he has no value. Especially in PPR leagues this guy can come up big time as he does his best Darren Sproles impression, and with Ryan Mathews out Monday against Indianapolis Woodhead will see the majority of the workload.
RB- Knowshon Moreno, DEN
While Manning has put up absolutely gaudy numbers Moreno himself has quietly had a good fantasy season. With the Broncos hosting the dismal Jags and being 28 point favorites, Moreno will see a good amount of carries as the Broncos play from ahead. I mean, wayyyyyy ahead.
RB- Trent Richardson, IND
Now that he's had a couple weeks to become acclimated in Indy Richardson faces a San Diego defense that is giving up about 5 yards per carry to opposing running backs. Monday night could be a breakout game for Richardson to kick start his already hectic 2013 season.
RB- Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX
The Broncos-Jags game this week could be an epic display of grotesque hideousness. Yet the Broncos D has given up the 7th most points to opposing running backs this season, and with MJD coming off his most productive outing of the year I see him potentially breaking out this week.
WR- Cecil Shorts III, JAX
I had to include the third in his name because this is the 3rd time he's been in my love section this year. Shorts is leading the NFL in targets with 61 and his 31 catches are good for 10th best. The return of Justin Blackmon took coverage away from Shorts last week and allowed him to take advantage and get into the endzone for the 1st time this season, and this week against a defense that gave up 4 TDs to Cowboys wide receivers last week I see him going off. Unless you have wide receivers on top of wide receivers, Shorts is a no brainer this week.
WR- Danny Amendola, NE
The return of Gronkowski will help everyone in New England's passing game, especially Amendola. Look for him to get his fair share of looks against New Orleans this week in a game I believe could be a shootout.
WR- Reggie Wayne, IND
Facing a horrendous 30th ranked pass-defense in the Chargers on Monday night it's fair to assume that Andrew Luck's favorite target could hoist some pretty serious numbers. The ageless wonder has had at least 3 catches in an NFL record 69 consecutive games, meaning that he's among the most consistent receivers in NFL history. Give him the nod as he's a lock to extend that streak to 70 games this week.
WR- DeSean Jackson, PHI
He's incredibly hit and miss, but its just a gut call this week. 24 of his 28 catches have gone for first downs, and that 85% ratio is the best in the league. HE's also fifth amongst qualified receivers in yards per catch, averaging 18.8 yards every time he gets the ball. Averaging 105 yards a game I really don't think it matters who is under center in Philly, as Jackson's value will stand tall.
TE- Rob Gronkowski, NE
Assuming that the waiting game is finally over in New England, Gronkowski is the man. As I mentioned previously he's got 38 touchdowns in 43 career games, leaving it at an 86% chance he finds the endzone this week, or any week for that matter.
TE- Vernon Davis, SF
Reasons to like him this week: Arizona is giving up the 4th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends this year. He's coming off a performance of 88 yards and a touchdown. His Quarterback goes by the name of Copernicus.
Start him.
D/ST- KC
How is this not obvious yet? Hello? *Herm Edwards Voice* YOU PLAY. TO WIN. THE GAME. Simple as that. They still aren't owned in every league and they're the number one defense in the land. Start 'em start 'em start 'em.
D/ST- BUF
It's fair to say that the Bills Defense is enjoying a good year thus far. Forcing turnovers is of the essence in Buffalo, Ranked 1st in the league in interceptions and T-4th in the league in total turnovers forced. The Legend of Kiko Alonso and the Bills D will live on in week 6 at home against the Bengals.
The Week 6 Hate List:
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
San Francisco will still throw the ball but recent success on the ground will lead to consistently lower stats for the man known as Copernicus. Although I love his tight end this week I can't lead myself to invest in the QB himself against a Patrick Peterson led secondary.
QB- Eli Manning, NYG
I gotta face facts here. The man is a turnover machine in 2013 as the abysmal Giants are looking dead in the face of 0-6. It doesn't get any easier for them this week against Chicago. Being on pace for 38 INTs is an automatic spot on the bench or on waivers for Eli.
RB- Giovani Bernard, CIN
Buffalo's defense is good... And it's the first time anyone has honestly said that since the turn of the millennium. Facing the 2nd ranked run defense and splitting carries with The Law Firm are two factors that don't bode well for Bernard's value this week.
RB- Pierre Thomas, NO
Although a massive week 5 performance led to a rush on Thomas he isn't consistent enough for my taste, and against the Pats this week I see fellow running back Darren Sproles as a much better option for the Undefeated Saints.
WR- Antonio Brown, PIT
He's had a breakout season thus far and coming off the bye I could see him playing well this week, unfortunately the other Antonio that is covering him for the Jets this week will most likely shut him down all game.
WR- Julian Edelman, NE
He's the one man in the rotation that isn't benefited from the returns of Gronk and Amendola. His spot in the slot will be handed back over to Amendola and Gronk will see alot of looks this week, and with emerging WR Kenbrell Thompkins, Edelman seems to be the odd man out moving forward. His return duties could maintain his flex play value, however.
WR- Nate Washington, TEN
Against Seattle's D this week I can't see any Titans wide receiver really getting going behind Ryan Fitzpatrick. Until Locker returns almost all Tennessee Wide receivers will have depreciating value.
TE- Jared Cook, STL
Since a massive week 1 performance, he's been a fantasy no-show. After everyone jumped on his bandwagon I was among the last laughing, as I was wise to choose Jordan Cameron over repeat disappointment Mr. Cook.
TE- Scott Chandler, BUF
With a practice squad QB with just 1 NFL start under his belt Chandler's value is decreased significantly. The Cincinnati linebacking core will have their sights set on the 6'7" Chandler this week as Lewis makes his Bills debut in place of the injured Manuel.
D/ST- WAS
The Redskins Defense has been torched all year long and with a high octane Dallas offense being this week's
opponent I don't see that improving. Romo threw for 500 yards and 5 TDs last week, and although I won't say he's going to repeat that I will say that he could again hoist some good-looking numbers.
D/ST- JAX
Not like they're owned in any leagues anyway, I just thought I oughta point this out. They're projected for a staggering -10 this week against Denver. The amount of points that experts think Denver will put up? 58. That is the first time in my life I've ever seen such a projection. Just... wow.
And that wraps up this week's edition of the love-hate list. Until next time, my fellow fantasy footballers, i bid you farewell.
Thursday, October 3, 2013
Week 5 Love-Hate
Okay so last week I was feeling lazy. More lazy than the average 80 year old sloth. But, I digress. Here are my week 5 picks for you idiots, lets go.
Quarterbacks I love in week 5:
QB, Phillip Rivers, SD
With 11 touchdowns and only 2 picks through the first four games, Rivers hasn't been quite Manning-esque (referring to Peyton of course) but he has looked sharp nonetheless. He has 20+ points in 3 of 4 games and is a top 5 fantasy quarterback through the first quarter of the season. The most unbelievable stat is that he is only owned in 87 percent of leagues. Pick him up and start him, he's a fantasy stud in 2013.
QB, Mike Vick, PHI
He Should go back to his ways of running free as he did the first two weeks as the Eagles take on a Giants team that is, mediocre. At best. The Eagles should be putting up some big points against the G-Men and Vick will be a part of it.
QB, Matthew Stafford, DET
He's Had two touchdowns in each of his first four games. He'll be engaged in a shootout against the Packers this week so i see him putting up huge numbers. He's throwing to Megatron, let's be real here.
Running Backs I Love In Week 5:
RB, Giovani Bernard, CIN
He was one of my sleeper picks that has come to fruition, as he has 10+ points in each of his last three outings in PPR formats. He's a receiving back who has quickly replaced The Law Firm in Cincy, and against a Vince Wilfork-less Pats squad this week I see him having a field day.
RB, Matt Forte, CHI
He's just so consistent doe.
RB, Chris Johnson, TEN
He needs to get in the end zone, but with Fitz getting the nod in Tennessee with Locker out, He'll need to produce. Maybe if I write about him he'll show up. For how good KC's defense has been they are indeed giving up 5.4 yards a carry. I like his odds and so should you. C'mon CJ2K, C'mon!
RB, Fred Jackson, BUF
Spiller isn't looking 100% and with the man called Haden amongst other men in the Cleveland secondary the Bills should be running the football. Alot. Not to mention they're the second best rushing team in the league. Start him.
RB, Ray Rice, BAL
This should be common sense, if he plays in any given week you'll play him. But against a Miami defense that got torched by Darren Sproles last week I like him. Another thing to consider- they benched their stud last week in a loss at Buffalo. Super Bowl Champs don't make the same mistake twice, right?
Wide Receivers I Love In Week 5:
WR, Cecil Shorts, JAX
He's getting catches no matter who is under center and I feel he's due for a trip to the end zone. He's the only member of the Jags worthy of a start this week and they will be throwing, alot. When don't they play from behind? Against St. Louis on the fast turf this weekend I like Shorts to put up numbers.
WR, AJ Green, CIN
Simply because the last two weeks from him have been mediocre at best, and my co-writer is hating on him this week because he's a biased Pats Fan. Not a fan of the whole "Talib Island" thing... Not very original Alex. Nut up or shut up, Mr. Green.
Denver Receivers-
If you have one, I don't care if he's 5th string, blind, on the IR, retired. Start him. The man throwing to him is on pace for 64 touchdowns and no interceptions. Lol. Wut.
WR, Randall Cobb, GB
The Lions-Packers game could easily end up looking like an Arena Football League scoring game at the end of 60 minutes. I wouldn't be shocked if the QB's combined for 1,000 yards and 10 TD's. So much offense... I can't even put it into words. The Packers need this one, expect them to throw to their best target.
Tight Ends I Love In Week 5:
TE, Antonio Gates, SD
I had every doubt in the world about this man at the start of the season and avoided him in every draft I've done. Given I was smart enough to buy into every share of Jordan Cameron stock left in the world, Gates proved yet again to me that he's the man. Did I mention they play Oakland this weekend and his QB has a 118.6 rating this season? ..The more you know.
TE, Julius Thomas, DEN
See "Denver Receivers"
Defenses I love In Week 5:
STL Defense
Why? *licks lips out of devious satisfaction* Guess who they play? The Jags. Muahahahahaha.
KC Defense
By now this should be obvious. It doesn't seem to matter who they play, they're almost a sure 15 points. Given they haven't Played Mr. Manning yet... Oh wait, they did. I meant to say, Given they haven't played Peyton*** Manning yet.
Hate is a strong word, but I Really, really, really don't like you.
Quarterbacks I Hate in Week 5:
QB, Andrew Luck, IND
Once upon a time in a place known as Seattle, there lived a scary and ravishing defense that allowed no mercy to its opponents. There were many a good defensive back in that magical place known as Seattle, and they liked to make being a quarterback a living hell. Let's stop being cute. Luck will be happy to walk away from this one with less than 3 picks.
QB, Carson Palmer, ARI
He's the original garbage time hero. Unfortunately I don't foresee alot of garbage time in this one.
Running Backs I Hate in Week 5:
RB, Ryan Mathews,
Have you seen him play? Uglier than my aunt's hairless chihuahua. Woodhead and Brown are taking his touches, slowly but surely.
RBs, James Starks and Johnathan Franklin, GB
Starks is out, and there's a big man back in town, his name is Lacy.
RB, DeMarco Murray, DAL
It oughta be a shootout in Dallas with the Broncos in town, which means Dallas isn't going to be giving Murray 25 carries, that's for sure.
Wide Receivers I Hate in Week 5:
WR, Reggie Wayne, IND
Richard Sherman is just too damn good. The entire Colts offense will struggle this week against Seattle.
WR, T.Y. Hilton, IND
He is a return threat so i don't hate him as much as Wayne, but still. He plays for the Colts, Who are playing the Seahawks.
WR, Stevie Johnson, BUF
Joe Haden is pretty good if you haven't heard... And Johnson is a little injured too. And the Bills aren't home, and you probably have better options on your team. Sit him down.
WR, Mike Wallace, MIA
This is somewhat of a gut call but after the disappointing loss in Buffalo I like Baltimore's defense to look sharp against Miami, and Wallace has been much too inconsistent for my liking this year.
Tight Ends I Hate in Week 5:
TE, Jimmy Graham, NO
This is crazy, I'm stupid, I'm an insult to fantasy players everywhere. Whatever. Say what you'd like. I still think he gets 8-10 points in standard leagues but I don't think he puts up 25 again this week. He can't be this good all the time right? Major gut call here but I feel he has an off week. We'll see. I gotta be bold somewhere along the lines and if this works out and I'm right, I'm a genius.
most other tight ends not named Cameron, Gronkowski, or Gonzalez.
Defenses I Hate in Week 5:
DET Defense
"Who's Detroit playing this week?"
"Green Bay, Sir."
"Oh? Green Bay is it?"
*drops defense* *picks up whoever plays Jacksonville*
"We're all good son, fetch me some coffee"
And now we're done here. Good luck in week 5!
Quarterbacks I love in week 5:
QB, Phillip Rivers, SD
With 11 touchdowns and only 2 picks through the first four games, Rivers hasn't been quite Manning-esque (referring to Peyton of course) but he has looked sharp nonetheless. He has 20+ points in 3 of 4 games and is a top 5 fantasy quarterback through the first quarter of the season. The most unbelievable stat is that he is only owned in 87 percent of leagues. Pick him up and start him, he's a fantasy stud in 2013.
QB, Mike Vick, PHI
He Should go back to his ways of running free as he did the first two weeks as the Eagles take on a Giants team that is, mediocre. At best. The Eagles should be putting up some big points against the G-Men and Vick will be a part of it.
QB, Matthew Stafford, DET
He's Had two touchdowns in each of his first four games. He'll be engaged in a shootout against the Packers this week so i see him putting up huge numbers. He's throwing to Megatron, let's be real here.
Running Backs I Love In Week 5:
RB, Giovani Bernard, CIN
He was one of my sleeper picks that has come to fruition, as he has 10+ points in each of his last three outings in PPR formats. He's a receiving back who has quickly replaced The Law Firm in Cincy, and against a Vince Wilfork-less Pats squad this week I see him having a field day.
RB, Matt Forte, CHI
He's just so consistent doe.
RB, Chris Johnson, TEN
He needs to get in the end zone, but with Fitz getting the nod in Tennessee with Locker out, He'll need to produce. Maybe if I write about him he'll show up. For how good KC's defense has been they are indeed giving up 5.4 yards a carry. I like his odds and so should you. C'mon CJ2K, C'mon!
RB, Fred Jackson, BUF
Spiller isn't looking 100% and with the man called Haden amongst other men in the Cleveland secondary the Bills should be running the football. Alot. Not to mention they're the second best rushing team in the league. Start him.
RB, Ray Rice, BAL
This should be common sense, if he plays in any given week you'll play him. But against a Miami defense that got torched by Darren Sproles last week I like him. Another thing to consider- they benched their stud last week in a loss at Buffalo. Super Bowl Champs don't make the same mistake twice, right?
Wide Receivers I Love In Week 5:
WR, Cecil Shorts, JAX
He's getting catches no matter who is under center and I feel he's due for a trip to the end zone. He's the only member of the Jags worthy of a start this week and they will be throwing, alot. When don't they play from behind? Against St. Louis on the fast turf this weekend I like Shorts to put up numbers.
WR, AJ Green, CIN
Simply because the last two weeks from him have been mediocre at best, and my co-writer is hating on him this week because he's a biased Pats Fan. Not a fan of the whole "Talib Island" thing... Not very original Alex. Nut up or shut up, Mr. Green.
Denver Receivers-
If you have one, I don't care if he's 5th string, blind, on the IR, retired. Start him. The man throwing to him is on pace for 64 touchdowns and no interceptions. Lol. Wut.
WR, Randall Cobb, GB
The Lions-Packers game could easily end up looking like an Arena Football League scoring game at the end of 60 minutes. I wouldn't be shocked if the QB's combined for 1,000 yards and 10 TD's. So much offense... I can't even put it into words. The Packers need this one, expect them to throw to their best target.
Tight Ends I Love In Week 5:
TE, Antonio Gates, SD
I had every doubt in the world about this man at the start of the season and avoided him in every draft I've done. Given I was smart enough to buy into every share of Jordan Cameron stock left in the world, Gates proved yet again to me that he's the man. Did I mention they play Oakland this weekend and his QB has a 118.6 rating this season? ..The more you know.
TE, Julius Thomas, DEN
See "Denver Receivers"
Defenses I love In Week 5:
STL Defense
Why? *licks lips out of devious satisfaction* Guess who they play? The Jags. Muahahahahaha.
KC Defense
By now this should be obvious. It doesn't seem to matter who they play, they're almost a sure 15 points. Given they haven't Played Mr. Manning yet... Oh wait, they did. I meant to say, Given they haven't played Peyton*** Manning yet.
Hate is a strong word, but I Really, really, really don't like you.
Quarterbacks I Hate in Week 5:
QB, Andrew Luck, IND
Once upon a time in a place known as Seattle, there lived a scary and ravishing defense that allowed no mercy to its opponents. There were many a good defensive back in that magical place known as Seattle, and they liked to make being a quarterback a living hell. Let's stop being cute. Luck will be happy to walk away from this one with less than 3 picks.
QB, Carson Palmer, ARI
He's the original garbage time hero. Unfortunately I don't foresee alot of garbage time in this one.
Running Backs I Hate in Week 5:
RB, Ryan Mathews,
Have you seen him play? Uglier than my aunt's hairless chihuahua. Woodhead and Brown are taking his touches, slowly but surely.
RBs, James Starks and Johnathan Franklin, GB
Starks is out, and there's a big man back in town, his name is Lacy.
RB, DeMarco Murray, DAL
It oughta be a shootout in Dallas with the Broncos in town, which means Dallas isn't going to be giving Murray 25 carries, that's for sure.
Wide Receivers I Hate in Week 5:
WR, Reggie Wayne, IND
Richard Sherman is just too damn good. The entire Colts offense will struggle this week against Seattle.
WR, T.Y. Hilton, IND
He is a return threat so i don't hate him as much as Wayne, but still. He plays for the Colts, Who are playing the Seahawks.
WR, Stevie Johnson, BUF
Joe Haden is pretty good if you haven't heard... And Johnson is a little injured too. And the Bills aren't home, and you probably have better options on your team. Sit him down.
WR, Mike Wallace, MIA
This is somewhat of a gut call but after the disappointing loss in Buffalo I like Baltimore's defense to look sharp against Miami, and Wallace has been much too inconsistent for my liking this year.
Tight Ends I Hate in Week 5:
TE, Jimmy Graham, NO
This is crazy, I'm stupid, I'm an insult to fantasy players everywhere. Whatever. Say what you'd like. I still think he gets 8-10 points in standard leagues but I don't think he puts up 25 again this week. He can't be this good all the time right? Major gut call here but I feel he has an off week. We'll see. I gotta be bold somewhere along the lines and if this works out and I'm right, I'm a genius.
most other tight ends not named Cameron, Gronkowski, or Gonzalez.
Defenses I Hate in Week 5:
DET Defense
"Who's Detroit playing this week?"
"Green Bay, Sir."
"Oh? Green Bay is it?"
*drops defense* *picks up whoever plays Jacksonville*
"We're all good son, fetch me some coffee"
And now we're done here. Good luck in week 5!
Love/Hate Week 5
So I was notoriously average last
week. Only two of my six love picks scored over 16 points, and none of my hate
picks had less than 12, but no more than 16. So this week I’ll try to be
bolder, most likely make worse picks, but we’ll see how it goes anyway.
Love:
QB: Tony Romo is going to be behind
most of the game so he’s going to have to throw the ball more than usual. The running
game will be non-existent. Since Romo has only thrown one interception I think
he’ll keep the ball safe this week and rack up the yards in garbage time.
QB: I’m gonna go with Terrell Pryor
here because I want to. I need a bold prediction so here it is.
RB: Chris Johnson is going to get
the ball a lot with Ryan Fitzpatrick starting at quarterback this week. In Buffalo
Fitzpatrick threw a lot of screens and also I can see a lot of check-downs
coming this week because Fitzy is going to have trouble moving the ball without
CJ2K.
RB: Giovani Bernard will play very
well this week with the absence of Vince Wilfork clogging up the middle for the
Patriots. I think Bernard can get into the end zone and will have success
running up the middle for a lot of short gains.
RB:
Here’s my bold prediction. Fred Jackson will be EJ Manuel’s savior this week
when I see him struggling against the Browns. Jackson will score twice in the
red zone.
WR:
Calvin Johnson Jr. is going to get the ball a ton this week against Green Bay
because their secondary isn’t great and Stafford is going to need him to stay
in the game. Also I did say I’m not going to put top five wide receivers in
this and I’m not. Megatron is the 7th ranked wide receiver right now
in my league.
WR:
Josh Gordon is going up against a depleted Buffalo secondary and he’ll thrive. With
Brian Hoyer finally being a solid starter (so far… it is the Browns so
something will go wrong) Gordon will get the ball plenty this week and probably
find the end zone.
WR:
Bold prediction: DeSean Jackson. The Giants are going to find a way to lose this
week and I think it’ll be because of Jackson. They really should pay a lot of
attention to him since he’s the Eagles biggest threat, but he’s going to go off
anyway.
No
tight end this week folks, sorry.
Hate:
QB: EJ
Manuel is playing a solid Cleveland defense this week. Also, I think it’s about
time for the Bills to start tanking. However, I do think the Bills will win
because their defense will keep them in it.
RB: Trent Richardson won’t have a good game for a
couple reasons. First off, it’s going to be a shootout against Seattle so he
won’t get the ball a lot. Second, he is playing the best defense in the NFL in
the Seahawks so he is going to have trouble with that.
My opinion on Richardson is that we all know he isn’t a huge
part of the Colts offense and he hasn’t played well so far, but anyone that
picked him has to play him because he’s a first round pick. I know I’d still
start him because his upside is way too high and you’ve got to expect him to
break out eventually, but this week it won’t happen against the Seahawks.
WR: AJ
Green. Two words. Talib Island.
That’s all this week folks. I’m busy during this week so I probably
won’t be back until the next Love/Hate. I hope this week is a bit better.
Friday, September 27, 2013
Love/Hate Week 4
The
NFL, where a sure thing will never actually exist! Aaron Rodgers, who is
supposedly the best fantasy QB in the last couple years had such a bad week
that it actually cost me the game. He puts up an average week and I win with
ease. So I’ll start off by apologizing for being so bad in my predictions last
week. I guess the NFL is too unpredictable to even really be writing about it
or playing fantasy football at all, but we love it anyway and you all love it
enough to read my posts about how bad my team has been this season.
So week
three was such an odd week that I really don’t know where to go from there, but
looking through ESPN’s takes on how each player did last week I can see a lot
of regression to the mean about to happen. What do I mean by regression to the
mean you ask? I’ll explain.
Regression
to the mean is something I live by. It’s the idea that an unlikely sequence of
events happens, and is followed by the opposite or going back to the normal. I
learned about this in ESPN the Mag and the example they used was that the Jets
recovered a ton of fumbles one season (yes the Jets did something good) and the
next season they recovered way less than the league average. I’m a firm
believer that regression to the mean can occur in really anything.
How
does this relate to my Love/Hate this week? Well a lot of my players had
terrible games in week three and I know they are better than what they
produced, so I expect most of them to come back in week four and have a huge
game to stay at their season average. That doesn’t mean I’ll go with all
players that had bad games last games last week, because there’s a fine line
between underperforming and just a bad game.
So here
we go:
Love:
QB: RGIII is going to have a good game. I think he’ll
finally get his sh** together and have a good game. He has to. If the Redskins
remain winless after playing the lowly Raiders then RGIII has a very good
chance of getting benched. With a pick or two Mike Shanahan is going to panic
and worry about his job security and there’s a good chance he benches RG0-3 for
Kirk Cousins. I think with some desperation RGIII will have to have a good
week. I can see him going off because he’s a dynamic athlete with a lot of
intangibles and will succeed in crunch time.
QB: Tony Romo could be big this week. With two high powered
offenses battling it out in San Diego, I see a shootout in San Diego this week.
RB: Giovani Bernard will play well against the Browns this
week because…. well, it’s the Browns. Bernard will tear them apart with his
speed in the open field and get into the end zone at least once or twice.
RB: Knowshon Moreno will have a great game against the
Eagles. I know I’ve said this guy more than once, and I was wrong last season,
but with the Broncos likely to be up early and the Eagles defense likely to be
tired from their offense’s low time of possession, I can see Moreno getting the
ball a lot.
WR: Cecil Shorts – this one’s completely a hunch. Shorts has
been heating up thus far scoring more and more each week. I think he’ll keep
heating up and slow down soon, but he’ll still stay around 20-22 points each
week after that.
WR: Marques Colston – I’m going out on a limb once again here.
I can see the Saints giving the Dolphins a reality check this week. “The
Dolphins are legit!” is what I’ve heard a lot after last week, but I think when
they play a real team in the Saints and their high powered offense I can see a
blowout. Colston is one of Brees’ favorite receivers and with the Dolphins
likely to pay a lot of attention to Jimmy Graham, who is coming off a monstrous
week, Colston will thrive with one-on-one coverage all game.
WR: Kenbrell Thompkins is going to have some freedom this
week because he’ll see more one-on-one coverage with Gronk being back.
Thompkins isn’t really that good, but it’s Tom Freakin’ Brady.
TE: Yeah I’m doing one again. And it’s going to be a top
tight end too. But, Rob Gronkowski is going to GO OFF this week! Why do I think
so? I mean he will definitely draw at least double coverage pretty much every
play so it’s not likely he even gets a catch this week, but it’s Tom Brady
throwing to Gronk. Can anyone stop that? Especially with this being Gronk’s
first week back, Brady is going to be excited to finally have his favorite
target back.
So a lot of my predictions were
based off hunches, a gut feeling, or a full out guess this week. But I've been
damn awful so far so I’m gonna go with something new this week and take some
guesses. We’ll see how it goes.
Hate:
QB: Michael Vick is going to look
like his old self this week. The Eagles will get down by a lot really early
which means Vick throwing a lot. His rush yards that kept his fantasy value
alive last week will be non-existent (see RG0-3 so far) and he’ll be forced to
be a pocket passer and throw a slew of interceptions.
RB: Lamar Miller won’t get the ball
much in a blowout loss to the Saints on Sunday.
WR: AJ Green will get a ton of
attention against the Browns and since they’re going to blow out the Browns,
they’ll look elsewhere that will be extremely easy to get production.
I’m sorry for my hate player’s evaluations
being so short but I’m trying to get this piece out as early as I can since it’s
late already.
This is also the first week of
byes! What to do with Aaron Rodgers sitting your bench this week? Well, take a
look at your bench. If you haven’t played half of them, drop them. You will
never play that rookie that’s on your favorite team that you think will break
out next week, or the week after…. Man up, drop him, and pick up a new guy. Having
Rodgers on my team, I went to the free agents and grabbed Pryor. Will I ever
need Pryor again after this week barring injury? Never. So I can pick him up
for a week, and drop him right after he plays, then go grab another backup for
my next bye week problem. By the end of the season when all the byes are over I
can finally re-stock and grab Aaron Dobson off the free agents just for the
novelty of having an over-rated rookie that never broke out that I like anyway
on my team.
Thursday, September 19, 2013
Love/ Hate- Week 3.
Oh NFL, you are so good to me. You're so good to every one of your loyal fans and in week 2, you were much more practical than week 1. I also must praise you for proving me right with my predictions of DeAndre Hopkins, who hoisted 114 yards and a touchdown, as well as my predictions of Jermichael Finley and Julius Thomas who each found their ways into the end zone. Who would of guessed I would be right by saying the defense that plays Jacksonville would have a good week? Shocking, I know. Oakland held the Jags to a weak 9 points and less than 250 yards offensively. The Jaguars have scored a total of 11 points through 2 weeks and at this point, I'd have to believe they'd lose to the Alabama Crimson Tide.
Although my love picks were hit and miss my eye for hatred was spot on. Colin Kaepernick shat the bed and Josh Freeman didn't impress in a loss to New Orleans. Ryan Mathews was... Ryan Mathews. It only took Giovani Bernard 2 weeks to show up Benjarvus Green-Ellis in Cincinnati, and The Law Firm wasn't a good fantasy play Monday night against Pittsburgh. Jerome Simpson proved he's still not a reliable option and was a no-show in week 2 as well. The Redskins got blown to smithereens by the Packers' high octane offense led by Aaron Rodgers and amassed a whopping -4 points. You could say I called it. So let's see what I can do this week in my week 3 rendition of the Love-Hate List!
Love:
QB- Cam Newton, CAR
The Giants have been in shootouts in each of the first two weeks. For whatever reason I expect that trend to continue, so based on what is a big gut call for me, start Newton this week. Carolina is looking to avoid an 0-3 start and they're desperate. So give Newton the nod.
QB- Eli Manning, NYG
The Giants have been in shootouts in each of the first two weeks. Hmm... this seems familiar to me for some reason. Disregard the fact that Eli is leading the league in interceptions through two games. The Giants are 0-2 against a shaky Panthers pass defense that gave up nearly 300 yards to Buffalo rookie EJ Manuel last week. Manning knows they can't slump to an 0-3 hole and he'll show up, count on it.
QB- Russell Wilson, SEA
The Seahawks are playing Jacksonville this week. Court dismissed, bring in the dancing lobsters.
Running backs this year are more frustrating than trying to understand women. Nevertheless, i must battle on and try my best to predict who will have good games this week at running back. Here goes:
RB- Alfred Morris, WAS
He's under-produced the first couple of weeks but this week against a 31st ranked Detroit run defense I see him going off. The Redskins won the NFC East last year and are facing an 0-3 start if they don't show up this week at home against the Lions. If not now, when?
RB- Darren Sproles, NO
The unsung hero of PPR leagues, Sproles is the only back I can think of that can rush for a mere 26 yards and still pull 11 points out of oblivion. In a game that could either be 14-10 or 42-35 I see Sproles going off. Start him.
RB- Chris Johnson, TEN
He has yet to find the endzone but hasn't shown any 2012 aspects of being a total dud yet. Rushing for an average of 83 yards a game he's on pace for a solid 1300 yard season. Assuming he scores some touchdowns along the way I like him a lot this year. The Chargers defense has already given up 333 yards to opposing running backs so Johnson has a legit shot at breaking out this week. Start him.
WR- Victor Cruz, NYG
You want some chips to go with that salsa?
WR- DeAndre Hopkins, HOU
Two weeks in a row might be greedy but hey, he proved me right last week with a stellar showing against Tennessee. Andre Johnson is banged up so give the kid a start, he's earned it coach. I LOVE LOVE LOVE this guy.
WR- Eric Decker, DEN
This is a true gut call. But his quarterback has a bionic neck and his team is playing the Raiders. If Welker and the Thomas brothers get their shares of love from Manning then Decker will be a red-zone target as always. Start any Bronco receiver this week and you'll be having a good time.
TE- Jordan Cameron, CLE
Well, with Richardson gone what else do they have? Minnesota has already given up 3 TD's to opposing tight ends so Cameron is a reliable option this week. He should be just about the only Brown you're willing to start this week.
TE- Rob Gronkowski, NE
IF, and only if, he plays. If he plays and you start him you'll be a happy camper. The Pats receiving core has looked awfully shaky the first two weeks and he'll be Brady's savior for sure.
D/ST- MIN
I mean all they have to worry about is Trent Ri.... wait, what? Nevermind. Cleveland has given up the most sacks in the league so far and without a legitimate running back option I can't see that improving.
D/ST- SEA
They play Jacksonville this week. It's fair to expect 30 points from them. The sad part is that isn't an exaggeration in the slightest.
The Hate List:
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
The Steelers have been anything but impressive this season. It's been ugly and I don't see it getting any better this weekend against a good Chicago Defense.
QB- Sam Bradford, STL
He's been one of the prettier ladies at the party so far this year, but against an opportunistic Dallas D that forced the Giants into 6 turnovers week one I just can't see it.
RB- Trent Richardson, IND
Welcome to Indianapolis! Here's the playbook, you got two days. Get ready to suit up, we play San Francisco this week buddy!
LOL, no. Have fun this week, Trent.
RB- Maurice Jones Drew, JAX
So you see, there's this thing called Seattle's Defense. And they make me not want to start anyone on the Jaguars offense this week. Not if I was in a 16 team league that made me start 4 running backs. Not if i had the choice to start MJD or Kevin Faulk. Faulk retired 3 years ago. Not if my life depended on it, would I start MJD this week.
WR- Cecil Shorts, JAX
Hello Mr. Shorts, meet the bench.
WR- DeSean Jackson, PHI
He was huge last week and he and Vick are proving to be quite the tandem in Chip Kelly's new offense. But against a good Chiefs D with Brandon Flowers covering him this week I can't see it happening again for Jackson. Sorry to disappoint.
WR- Eddie Royal, SD
He's been a touchdown guru the first 2 weeks. For whatever reason I just see that being limited against the Titans this week. Prove me wrong, Eddie.
TE- Brent Celek, PHI
Just two catches in two weeks says it all. Doesn't take a genius to figure this one out.
D/ST- CIN
I personally dropped them this week. Playing the Packers, no defense is safe. Start them if you're feeling ballsy, I mean I'm not going to... but you can feel free.
Good luck to all and happy week 3! We'll be seeing you next week my dear friends.
Although my love picks were hit and miss my eye for hatred was spot on. Colin Kaepernick shat the bed and Josh Freeman didn't impress in a loss to New Orleans. Ryan Mathews was... Ryan Mathews. It only took Giovani Bernard 2 weeks to show up Benjarvus Green-Ellis in Cincinnati, and The Law Firm wasn't a good fantasy play Monday night against Pittsburgh. Jerome Simpson proved he's still not a reliable option and was a no-show in week 2 as well. The Redskins got blown to smithereens by the Packers' high octane offense led by Aaron Rodgers and amassed a whopping -4 points. You could say I called it. So let's see what I can do this week in my week 3 rendition of the Love-Hate List!
Love:
QB- Cam Newton, CAR
The Giants have been in shootouts in each of the first two weeks. For whatever reason I expect that trend to continue, so based on what is a big gut call for me, start Newton this week. Carolina is looking to avoid an 0-3 start and they're desperate. So give Newton the nod.
QB- Eli Manning, NYG
The Giants have been in shootouts in each of the first two weeks. Hmm... this seems familiar to me for some reason. Disregard the fact that Eli is leading the league in interceptions through two games. The Giants are 0-2 against a shaky Panthers pass defense that gave up nearly 300 yards to Buffalo rookie EJ Manuel last week. Manning knows they can't slump to an 0-3 hole and he'll show up, count on it.
QB- Russell Wilson, SEA
The Seahawks are playing Jacksonville this week. Court dismissed, bring in the dancing lobsters.
Running backs this year are more frustrating than trying to understand women. Nevertheless, i must battle on and try my best to predict who will have good games this week at running back. Here goes:
RB- Alfred Morris, WAS
He's under-produced the first couple of weeks but this week against a 31st ranked Detroit run defense I see him going off. The Redskins won the NFC East last year and are facing an 0-3 start if they don't show up this week at home against the Lions. If not now, when?
RB- Darren Sproles, NO
The unsung hero of PPR leagues, Sproles is the only back I can think of that can rush for a mere 26 yards and still pull 11 points out of oblivion. In a game that could either be 14-10 or 42-35 I see Sproles going off. Start him.
RB- Chris Johnson, TEN
He has yet to find the endzone but hasn't shown any 2012 aspects of being a total dud yet. Rushing for an average of 83 yards a game he's on pace for a solid 1300 yard season. Assuming he scores some touchdowns along the way I like him a lot this year. The Chargers defense has already given up 333 yards to opposing running backs so Johnson has a legit shot at breaking out this week. Start him.
WR- Victor Cruz, NYG
You want some chips to go with that salsa?
WR- DeAndre Hopkins, HOU
Two weeks in a row might be greedy but hey, he proved me right last week with a stellar showing against Tennessee. Andre Johnson is banged up so give the kid a start, he's earned it coach. I LOVE LOVE LOVE this guy.
WR- Eric Decker, DEN
This is a true gut call. But his quarterback has a bionic neck and his team is playing the Raiders. If Welker and the Thomas brothers get their shares of love from Manning then Decker will be a red-zone target as always. Start any Bronco receiver this week and you'll be having a good time.
TE- Jordan Cameron, CLE
Well, with Richardson gone what else do they have? Minnesota has already given up 3 TD's to opposing tight ends so Cameron is a reliable option this week. He should be just about the only Brown you're willing to start this week.
TE- Rob Gronkowski, NE
IF, and only if, he plays. If he plays and you start him you'll be a happy camper. The Pats receiving core has looked awfully shaky the first two weeks and he'll be Brady's savior for sure.
D/ST- MIN
I mean all they have to worry about is Trent Ri.... wait, what? Nevermind. Cleveland has given up the most sacks in the league so far and without a legitimate running back option I can't see that improving.
D/ST- SEA
They play Jacksonville this week. It's fair to expect 30 points from them. The sad part is that isn't an exaggeration in the slightest.
The Hate List:
QB: Ben Roethlisberger, PIT
The Steelers have been anything but impressive this season. It's been ugly and I don't see it getting any better this weekend against a good Chicago Defense.
QB- Sam Bradford, STL
He's been one of the prettier ladies at the party so far this year, but against an opportunistic Dallas D that forced the Giants into 6 turnovers week one I just can't see it.
RB- Trent Richardson, IND
Welcome to Indianapolis! Here's the playbook, you got two days. Get ready to suit up, we play San Francisco this week buddy!
LOL, no. Have fun this week, Trent.
RB- Maurice Jones Drew, JAX
So you see, there's this thing called Seattle's Defense. And they make me not want to start anyone on the Jaguars offense this week. Not if I was in a 16 team league that made me start 4 running backs. Not if i had the choice to start MJD or Kevin Faulk. Faulk retired 3 years ago. Not if my life depended on it, would I start MJD this week.
WR- Cecil Shorts, JAX
Hello Mr. Shorts, meet the bench.
WR- DeSean Jackson, PHI
He was huge last week and he and Vick are proving to be quite the tandem in Chip Kelly's new offense. But against a good Chiefs D with Brandon Flowers covering him this week I can't see it happening again for Jackson. Sorry to disappoint.
WR- Eddie Royal, SD
He's been a touchdown guru the first 2 weeks. For whatever reason I just see that being limited against the Titans this week. Prove me wrong, Eddie.
TE- Brent Celek, PHI
Just two catches in two weeks says it all. Doesn't take a genius to figure this one out.
D/ST- CIN
I personally dropped them this week. Playing the Packers, no defense is safe. Start them if you're feeling ballsy, I mean I'm not going to... but you can feel free.
Good luck to all and happy week 3! We'll be seeing you next week my dear friends.
Love/Hate Week 3
That trade I said was happening –
Stevan Ridley and Rashard Mendanhall for Jordy Nelson did not happen. The guy I
was trading with picked up Bernard Pierce instead and decided to keep his stud wide
receiver and not make the worst trade of his life, despite agreeing to it
before.
I’m going to try to do a little
more in this piece from now on by talking about a couple more players and going
a bit more in depth about them.
Last week was pretty interesting!
Stevan Ridley was a flop again, Michael Vick went OFF, Tom Brady was disappointing
yet again, Eddie Royal kept up his production, and Demaryius Thomas looked like
a completely different player. So here’s what I think will happen this week in
fantasy.
Love:
Every quarterback in the NFL can
have a great week if he plays a lot! The NFL is becoming more and more of a
passing league every season and that means more points in fantasy for QB’s.
Last week with Aaron Rodgers and Michael Vick having 40+ point games we know
that QB’s will be the highest scorers by far this season.
QB: Eli Manning will have a big
week. Don’t be scared away by his league leading interceptions. He is playing
the Panthers this week! He’s going to have a ton of yards and I predict he
throws at least three touchdowns this week. I said I’d go more in depth this
week for each player but what else can I really say? The Panthers! Eli will be
a stud this week.
QB: I can see Alex Smith having a
solid week. He doesn't turn the ball over and with this game possibly being a
shootout, Smith will have to throw the ball. With the Eagles allowing the 3rd
most points this season I can see Smith putting up a few touchdowns and a ton
of yards.
QB: Phillip Rivers is going to have
a solid week. The Chargers are throwing the ball a lot, and against a weak
defense in Tennessee I see Rivers having a great game. Especially with Eddie
Royal and Antonio Gates looking to stay hot I see the Chargers and Phillip
Rivers going off this week. Rivers has had solid weeks so far, but I see him
putting up 30+ points this week (BOLD PREDICTION OF THE WEEK).
Running backs! Wow do I hate
running backs in fantasy football. Is it possible to find two good ones on a
consistent basis? If I could just play all wide receivers I would be ecstatic.
Running backs this season are so inconsistent so I hate them all. I’ll still do
some love guys but really it’s a toss-up and I’ll probably be wrong on half of
them.
RB: Darren Sproles is going to have
a great week. He is one of the guys I love every week because he catches the
ball. Last week he only had 26 rushing yards and still put up 11 points!
Against Arizona last week, Reggie Bush had three catches for 44 yards before he
left the game with knee injury. If Sproles plays the whole game on Sunday I see
him having a huge game.
RB: Knowshon Moreno is going to
play well this week even without Ryan Clady. In fact, I think Clady’s injury
may help Moreno. I could see the Broncos running towards the left side more to
give the new guy some confidence and I also think Moreno will be on the field
more because he’s a good pass protector and the Broncos will need that.
RB: This one may be a bit of a
stretch, but I like Jason Snelling. While averaging 32.8 receptions a season in
his career he will catch some passes this week. He’ll be on the field way more
than he has been for his whole career this week with Steven Jackson out, so I
see Snelling catching a bunch of passes as check-downs and I predict he gets
into the end-zone once as well.
WR: Desean Jackson is going to have
another huge week! Why? Because he’s on my team and I love him! He’s the best
fantasy wide-out right now and he’s going to continue that against the Chiefs.
He’s going to have a good week no matter what he does. If he doesn’t get into
the end zone this week I think he’ll have over 100 yards and about 12
receptions, or he could catch two touchdown passes and that will be about it.
Either way I love this guy and I see him keeping this pace up for a loooong
time.
WR: Dwayne Bowe is going to have a
big week. This is partly because I think Alex Smith will be great this week as
well. I mean, who else does Smith have to throw to? Bowe’s going to have to get
a touchdown or two to keep the Chiefs in the game, and since he’s Smith’s top
target I see him getting at least seven catches for over 80 yards to add onto
that. Big week for Bowe.
WR: Pierre Garcon could put up big
numbers this week. Even though the Redskins offense has looked terrible so far
they are great when they’re down big. Against Detroit and they’re very good
offense I could see the Redskins playing catch-up all game, which means RGIII
throwing to his best receiver.
TE: Yes, I’m doing a tight end this
week. Since I’m not too hot on Eddie Royal catching another two or three
touchdown passes again this week (he’s hurting as well), I think Antonio Gates
will give us a blast from the past this week. He’s going to be Rivers’ top
target and he’ll have to find the end zone along with about eight catches and
75 yards to keep the Chargers in the game.
Hate:
I hate a lot of guys in fantasy
this week. I had trouble writing this part last week, but this week I’m having
trouble figuring out which running backs I hate more. Can I put them all in
here?
QB: I don’t like Peyton Manning
this week. I think he’ll get hit more than usual, they’ll run more, and they’ll
get up big early, which leads to more running. Manning will have a solid game,
but not in terms of fantasy. And, honestly, I think Manning will have a solid
week if he was an average QB. Even though he’s the best fantasy player this
season, I don’t think he’ll play like it this week.
RB: Trent Richardson will not know
what is going on in Indianapolis this week. He won’t know the blocking schemes,
the plays, or have any chemistry with Andrew Luck. Eventually he’ll be great
for the Colts, but on such short notice I can’t see Richardson playing much,
and even if he does I don’t see him doing much except looking confused a lot.
WR: I hate Antonio Brown this week
against Chicago. They’re too good on defense and I really just can’t see anyone
on the Steelers producing.
That’s all I’ve got this week. I’ll
be back next week with another Love/Hate.
Tuesday, September 17, 2013
Week 1+2 Evaluation
I’m going to start doing an evaluation of my season every
other week.
Here’s how my team did in Week 2:
Damn good week right? It adds up to
138 points which was not enough to beat my matchup that scored 156, the second
most in our league this week (also the other writer on this blog). My team has
already changed since then. I’m 3rd on the waiver wire so I snatched
up Eddie Royal and dropped Sidney Rice (goes through tomorrow morning) and I made
a huge trade. I am sending away Stevan Ridley and Rashard Mendanhall for Jordy
Nelson. This should fill my flex spot very well but does kill my running back
options. I’m now left with Joique Bell and Darren Sproles and no back-ups. My plan
is to either trade away Royal and possibly another wide receiver I snatch up
off waivers (I’ll name him as soon as I get him, but this goes up before I can
claim him), or to grab backup running backs off waivers that are replacing
injured starters for depth. I don’t think I’ll be able to upgrade at starting
running backs, though.
Looking at potential guys I could
get upgrades for, I don’t see a lot I can trade for. There are the untouchable
guys, like Adrian Peterson and LeSean McCoy, and then there are guys that sound
good, like Alfred Morris, but are under-performing. Joique Bell is actually
out-playing Morris and Ridley at the moment. So, I don’t really see any trades
to upgrade at starting running backs happening. I’ll have to live with my
starters and just build up a little depth. I do still have Eddie Lacy who will
be sitting on my bench until he’s fully healed, but I would like to have two
running backs and two wide receivers.
I haven’t even begun to address
what I plan on doing with Malcolm Floyd, which I really haven’t figured out
yet. I saw him getting wheeled out on that stretcher and I have no idea what to
think. A stretcher makes me weary because it seems like they may not play the
rest of the season and may not come back the same, but I’ve had a bad experience
with that in the past too. One of my first years playing fantasy I had Anquan
Boldin in his fantasy prime and saw him have the game stopped for the better
part of half an hour to allow him to be wheeled out on a stretcher. I didn’t wait
five minutes to drop him. He ended up coming back, going to the Super Bowl that
season, and beating me single-handedly by the guy that picked him up later in
the season. So, I think the best option for Floyd is to wait. I’ll put him on
the IR if he qualifies, and if he doesn’t I can always just let him sit. I don’t
want to miss out on a top guy just because he has a concussion and will be out
three or four weeks. I can always pick up another wide receiver that is
randomly doing well from waivers if Floyd doesn’t come back as strong later.
On the subject of my actual fantasy
team and how we’re playing, I am not happy. My team is actually producing very
well. I’ve scored 248 points this season so far which is good for 6th
in my league, so not great, but not awful either. Should be good for about a
1-1 record right? Nope. I’m 0-2. I lost 139-110 in Week 1 and 156-138 in Week
2. Pretty disappointing and frustrating, I know. The upside? I could easily be
2-0 if I played the right guys. In fact, I could be 1-1 with my only loss by
one point if we switched my matchups. The scores would have been 110-103 in
Week 1, and 139-138 in Week 2. Still not great, but I would be much happier
knowing I’m not last in the F’ing league (along with two other guys).
In fact, I lead the league in
points against with 295. That’s 28 more than the guy in second for that stat
(who is amazingly 2-0 somehow). We put me at 6th in the league for
points against, just like I am for points for, and its 248 points for, 252
points against. That gives me a 1-1 record which matters the world in a
competitive league like mine where the winner last season only went 8-5.
So in conclusion, I look to improve
next week. Not in points because I don’t expect Aaron Rodgers to put up 43
points again, but I should finally be rid of a hole at two spots like the first
two weeks. I’ll be confident in all my spots except for Bell, who has looked
good so far. And, if Royal can keep being the stud he’s looked like so far, I could
shop him for a solid RB2 and be unstoppable. All there is to worry about is
that it’s only Week 2 and we haven’t seen nearly close to the amount of
injuries that there will be. Luckily, with my league only having four bench
spots, there are always plenty of backups on the waivers to snatch up in case
of injury.
That’s my thoughts on the season so
far and how I’m doing. I hope to improve soon. I’ll have my Love/Hate Week 3 up
tomorrow probably.
Thursday, September 12, 2013
Love/ Hate- Week 2
So week one was full of shenanigans, surprises, it was a casserole of nonsense if you will. It was incredibly heinous and in some aspects it was painful to watch. Who predicted that Julius Thomas (Who?) would scored 21 points against the Ravens D and Megatron would have a mere 3 against Minnesota?
The answer to that riddle is nobody who is currently walking the earth. The fact of the matter is that none of this is a perfect science and anything can happen. That being said, here is my best shot at predicting the chaos that will be week 2 in the NFL.
Love. Love is a fickle thing. It changes constantly. In the NFL and especially fantasy football, relationships are torn, and people you hate you love the next week. So here is my positional breakdown of who I love in week 2.
QB- Terrelle Pryor, Oak.
What? How could i possibly do such a thing? Simple. Last week against a good Colts squad he kept the Raiders competitive. He threw for more yards (217) than opposing fantasy stud Andrew Luck (178). He also ran for 112 yards in his season debut and racked up 19 points in his season debut in standard leagues. He's playing Jacksonville this week who is notoriously awful so he's got a big chance at putting up big points, and he's available in 78.3% of ESPN leagues. If you're scratching your head about your QB situation, pick him up and give him the nod.
QB- EJ Manuel, Buf.
Again, WHAT? The Rookie looked seasoned in his debut against New England, with nothing overly impressive but a solid day at the office. 150 yards and no picks, coupled with 2 Touchdowns against a damn good Pats D made his 1st NFL start almost good enough to pull a huge upset for Buffalo. He's not going to blow you away and put up Aaron Rodgers or Peyton Manning numbers but he should have another solid day at home against Carolina. He's owned in only 12.7 percent of ESPN leagues so if you can, snatch him off the waiver wire.
QB- Carson Palmer, Ari.
The guy looked pretty solid against St. Louis throwing for 327 and a pair of touchdowns to his new favorite target, known as Larry Fitzgerald. It wasn't all rainbows and butterflies for Palmer though, as he was hindered by 4 sacks and a pair of turnovers. Against Detroit he could have issues with that dominant defensive line, but he's still a good pick to have a 20 point game.
Running backs in week one were a joke. CJ Spiller, Stevan Ridley, Marshawn Lynch, Alfred Morris. They were all top ten backs last year in standard fantasy leagues and yet none of them mustered up 10 points in week one. You can't predict football! That being said, here's who I love in week 2.
RB- Stevan Ridley, NE
There's a plethora of injuries in New England. Shane Vereen, Amendola, and Gronkowski are all not playing Thursday night versus the Jets. Despite lack of production week 1, Ridley will be a weapon, you can count on it.
RB- Matt Forte, Chi
The Minnesota defense got shredded by Reggie Bush and Joique Bell in week one. Forte is a solid back and he will get touches, so until Minnesota figures it out they will be picked against weekly.
RB- Eddie Lacy, GB
The Redskins Defense looked horrendous against the Eagles. They're matched up against another fast paced offense this week and I don't see things changing. If you have Lacy, start him.
WR- Leonard Hankerson, Was
This guy had a huge week 1 and was RGIII's main target against the Eagles. Another week of 5 catches, 80 yards and a TD or two isn't out of the question against Green Bay. I'm not completely sold on him as his targets could easily go to Pierre Garcon, but it's a chance I'd be willing to take.
WR- Steve Smith, Car.
He played well in week one, and as he ages he's still a proven fantasy start in the NFL. He and Cam Newton could have huge games against a Bills team with a lot of holes to fill in the secondary.
WR- DeAndre Hopkins, Hou.
He had an average rookie debut against San Diego, catching 5 of 7 targets for 66 yards while Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels lit it up. With those two as well as Arian Foster and Ben Tate, Houston is loaded offensively. If you want to roll the dice on him at a flex play I'd give you the green light, as he has huge play potential that he displayed in Clemson. I love this guy, I don't care what you say. Go DeAndre, Go!
TE- Julius Thomas, Den.
Peyton Manning is on pace to throw 112 touchdowns. That won't happen, but it's fun to think about. Start any one of his receivers and you'll be having a good time.
TE- Jermichael Finley, GB.
Last year's mediocre season looks to be behind him now as he caught 5 passes for 56 yards and a score. Assuming his toe injury isn't anything serious and he starts, play him and any other Green Bay receiver this week against Washington.
D/ST- Whatever team is playing the Jaguars.
HATE- I hate doing this, it makes me feel rude. But I also need to do this because it's part of what we do here.
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
He had a hell of a game last week against Green Bay, but the Seahawks were effective in shutting down Cam Newton last week. The 12th man will play a role in Seattle this week and their defense is always tough. Kaepernick will have a tough time putting up numbers and isn't a sure start this week.
QB- Josh Freeman, TB
He only put up 10 points last week in an ugly affair with the Jets, and against a much improved New Orleans Defense he doesn't look like a good play this week.
RB- Ryan Mathews, SD
If the Eagles have a repeat 1st half of what they did against Washington and go up by 26, The San Diego run game will be non existent. Oh and by the way, have you seen Mathews play? Ugly.
RB- Benjarvus Green-Ellis, Cin
The Pittsburgh defense held Chris Johnson to 70 yards and 0 TD's last week. They're always a solid run defense and with the law firm splitting carries with Giovani Bernard, his production will be limited barring a goal-line touchdown.
WR- Torrey Smith, Bal
He's incredibly hit and miss and so is his Quarterback. Cleveland shut down Mike Wallace last week and I can see a similar outcome with their defense on Baltimore's speed demon this weekend. Sit him down, or play him if you're feeling risky. Really, really risky.
WR- Jerome Simpson, Min
He went off on week one, with 7 catches for 140 yards. But he'll have to prove to me that he can do that against Charles Tillman and the Bears defense for me to be convinced this guy is legit. Step up, Jerome.
TE- 80% of the starting tight ends in the league are hit and miss. It's tough to hate any of them.
D/ST- Washington.
They're playing the Packers. Good luck starting them. That is all.
Now remember, I'm not an expert. I'm a writer with a passion for fantasy football. Good luck in week 2, my friends. Happy football!
The answer to that riddle is nobody who is currently walking the earth. The fact of the matter is that none of this is a perfect science and anything can happen. That being said, here is my best shot at predicting the chaos that will be week 2 in the NFL.
Love. Love is a fickle thing. It changes constantly. In the NFL and especially fantasy football, relationships are torn, and people you hate you love the next week. So here is my positional breakdown of who I love in week 2.
QB- Terrelle Pryor, Oak.
What? How could i possibly do such a thing? Simple. Last week against a good Colts squad he kept the Raiders competitive. He threw for more yards (217) than opposing fantasy stud Andrew Luck (178). He also ran for 112 yards in his season debut and racked up 19 points in his season debut in standard leagues. He's playing Jacksonville this week who is notoriously awful so he's got a big chance at putting up big points, and he's available in 78.3% of ESPN leagues. If you're scratching your head about your QB situation, pick him up and give him the nod.
QB- EJ Manuel, Buf.
Again, WHAT? The Rookie looked seasoned in his debut against New England, with nothing overly impressive but a solid day at the office. 150 yards and no picks, coupled with 2 Touchdowns against a damn good Pats D made his 1st NFL start almost good enough to pull a huge upset for Buffalo. He's not going to blow you away and put up Aaron Rodgers or Peyton Manning numbers but he should have another solid day at home against Carolina. He's owned in only 12.7 percent of ESPN leagues so if you can, snatch him off the waiver wire.
QB- Carson Palmer, Ari.
The guy looked pretty solid against St. Louis throwing for 327 and a pair of touchdowns to his new favorite target, known as Larry Fitzgerald. It wasn't all rainbows and butterflies for Palmer though, as he was hindered by 4 sacks and a pair of turnovers. Against Detroit he could have issues with that dominant defensive line, but he's still a good pick to have a 20 point game.
Running backs in week one were a joke. CJ Spiller, Stevan Ridley, Marshawn Lynch, Alfred Morris. They were all top ten backs last year in standard fantasy leagues and yet none of them mustered up 10 points in week one. You can't predict football! That being said, here's who I love in week 2.
RB- Stevan Ridley, NE
There's a plethora of injuries in New England. Shane Vereen, Amendola, and Gronkowski are all not playing Thursday night versus the Jets. Despite lack of production week 1, Ridley will be a weapon, you can count on it.
RB- Matt Forte, Chi
The Minnesota defense got shredded by Reggie Bush and Joique Bell in week one. Forte is a solid back and he will get touches, so until Minnesota figures it out they will be picked against weekly.
RB- Eddie Lacy, GB
The Redskins Defense looked horrendous against the Eagles. They're matched up against another fast paced offense this week and I don't see things changing. If you have Lacy, start him.
WR- Leonard Hankerson, Was
This guy had a huge week 1 and was RGIII's main target against the Eagles. Another week of 5 catches, 80 yards and a TD or two isn't out of the question against Green Bay. I'm not completely sold on him as his targets could easily go to Pierre Garcon, but it's a chance I'd be willing to take.
WR- Steve Smith, Car.
He played well in week one, and as he ages he's still a proven fantasy start in the NFL. He and Cam Newton could have huge games against a Bills team with a lot of holes to fill in the secondary.
WR- DeAndre Hopkins, Hou.
He had an average rookie debut against San Diego, catching 5 of 7 targets for 66 yards while Andre Johnson and Owen Daniels lit it up. With those two as well as Arian Foster and Ben Tate, Houston is loaded offensively. If you want to roll the dice on him at a flex play I'd give you the green light, as he has huge play potential that he displayed in Clemson. I love this guy, I don't care what you say. Go DeAndre, Go!
TE- Julius Thomas, Den.
Peyton Manning is on pace to throw 112 touchdowns. That won't happen, but it's fun to think about. Start any one of his receivers and you'll be having a good time.
TE- Jermichael Finley, GB.
Last year's mediocre season looks to be behind him now as he caught 5 passes for 56 yards and a score. Assuming his toe injury isn't anything serious and he starts, play him and any other Green Bay receiver this week against Washington.
D/ST- Whatever team is playing the Jaguars.
HATE- I hate doing this, it makes me feel rude. But I also need to do this because it's part of what we do here.
QB- Colin Kaepernick, SF
He had a hell of a game last week against Green Bay, but the Seahawks were effective in shutting down Cam Newton last week. The 12th man will play a role in Seattle this week and their defense is always tough. Kaepernick will have a tough time putting up numbers and isn't a sure start this week.
QB- Josh Freeman, TB
He only put up 10 points last week in an ugly affair with the Jets, and against a much improved New Orleans Defense he doesn't look like a good play this week.
RB- Ryan Mathews, SD
If the Eagles have a repeat 1st half of what they did against Washington and go up by 26, The San Diego run game will be non existent. Oh and by the way, have you seen Mathews play? Ugly.
RB- Benjarvus Green-Ellis, Cin
The Pittsburgh defense held Chris Johnson to 70 yards and 0 TD's last week. They're always a solid run defense and with the law firm splitting carries with Giovani Bernard, his production will be limited barring a goal-line touchdown.
WR- Torrey Smith, Bal
He's incredibly hit and miss and so is his Quarterback. Cleveland shut down Mike Wallace last week and I can see a similar outcome with their defense on Baltimore's speed demon this weekend. Sit him down, or play him if you're feeling risky. Really, really risky.
WR- Jerome Simpson, Min
He went off on week one, with 7 catches for 140 yards. But he'll have to prove to me that he can do that against Charles Tillman and the Bears defense for me to be convinced this guy is legit. Step up, Jerome.
TE- 80% of the starting tight ends in the league are hit and miss. It's tough to hate any of them.
D/ST- Washington.
They're playing the Packers. Good luck starting them. That is all.
Now remember, I'm not an expert. I'm a writer with a passion for fantasy football. Good luck in week 2, my friends. Happy football!
Love/Hate Week 2
Here is my Week 2 Love/Hate! Last week
I did pretty well in my predictions. I only got four out of my ten predictions
completely wrong. Julius Thomas was probably my boldest prediction and ended up
paying off with 28 points in PPR format. I got Lamaar Miller very, very wrong
and Steven Jackson had just an average week. Another prediction I thought I got
decently wrong was with Garcon, who scored 16 which isn’t awful. So here is
Week 2:
QB: Unless I want to go with Andrew
Luck for two weeks in a row, which is a player I love this week along with Matt
Ryan, but the best matchup for any quarterback has got to be Drew Brees
against the Bucs, even though I am trying to avoid putting first round picks in
this piece.
RB: Steven Jackson against
his old team, the Rams, seems like a huge week for Jackson to me. Yes, I did
pick Jackson last week and he only put up 16 points, but this week I really see
the Falcons getting into the red zone a lot and pounding it in easily with
Jackson a couple times.
RB: Matt Forte is a good
choice this week against the Vikings who had problems with another good
receiving back in Reggie Bush last week. Forte should get a couple receptions
while getting into the end zone once or twice as well.
WR: Reggie Wayne against the
Dolphins is a good pick. He is experienced and seems to be Luck’s safety net
week in and week out. Wayne will have a solid week every week, but against a
weak Miami defense, I see Wayne having a solid week.
WR: I like Dwayne Bowe this
week against the Cowboys despite his weak 7 point showing last week. This week
the Cowboys should put up more of a fight, forcing the Chiefs to rely on the
pass more, and Bowe should end up being the top target in a competitive game
like this one should be.
TE: I won’t do a love tight end
this week. I think last week was the only week I’ll do it because I loved
Julius Thomas so much, but now I don’t really see myself predicting a tight end
having a big game. Tight ends are often used as safety blankets with an inexperienced
passer and a great over-the-middle weapon for guys like Peyton Manning. Tight
ends have trouble being consistent so they can break out any week, and if you don’t
have a guy like Gronkowski (when he comes back obviously), Jimmy Graham, or
Julius Thomas (all have the best quarterbacks in the league throwing to them…
coincidence?), it’s really not a given that they will most likely have a solid
game each week.
D/ST: I’m also done with predicting
how a defense will do each week. Any team playing a bad quarterback is a good
pick I guess….
Hate:
QB: I don’t see Cam Newton
having a good week against the Bills. The Bills can create turnovers very well
this season. Just look at what they did to one of the most efficient defenses
in the Patriots with Tom Brady last week. I expect them to do it again with Cam
Newton who throws a lot of interceptions.
RB: David Wilson is not
going to have a big week. With Tom Coughlin not trusting him after his two
fumbles last week I don’t see Wilson getting as many carries as your regular
feature back this week. Plus, I can see this game being a shootout with Peyton
keeping pace with his week one performance (obviously not 7 TD’s, but 300+
yards and 3+ touchdowns sounds reasonable) Eli will have to keep the game close
by throwing more and Wilson will be excluded from the game.
WR: I reviewed all of the starting
wide receivers in my league’s starting lineups for this week and I couldn’t find
any really bad matchups. Every wide-out seems like there is upside to playing
him. I don’t see a problem with the obvious starters this week.
So there are my Love/Hate players
for Week 2. I was pretty good last week so I expect to be decent this week as
well.
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